NBA2026-27 season
Miami Heat vs Toronto Raptors
Head-to-head win probability for NBA. Next meeting when one is scheduled, otherwise the most recent game. This season's results use the last pre-kickoff number.
Most recent meeting
Sat, Oct 3, 2026
This season
2026-27 meetings. Pre-kickoff win probability and the result.
No 2026-27 meetings yet.
Model record on this matchup
Graded on the last pre-kickoff win probability, the same rule as the accuracy page. Preseason excluded.
Hit rate
—
No decided games this season
Meetings graded
0
2026-27
Correct calls
0
Favorite won
Factor comparison
Each team's top factors from this page's featured meeting.
Miami Heat
- Injuries — Heat healthier: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs Warriors 6 out, 0 doubtful
- Offensive Efficiency — Heat offense (108.5 PPG) outpaces Warriors (106.5 PPG)
Toronto Raptors
- Defensive Efficiency — Raptors defense (97.0 Opp PPG) better than Bucks (130.0 Opp PPG)
- Offensive Efficiency — Raptors offense (123.5 PPG) outpaces Bucks (120.5 PPG)
- ELO Rating — Bucks ELO 1354 vs Raptors ELO 1543 (diff: -189)
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