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Minnesota Timberwolves at Indiana Pacers

NBAregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Pacers logo
Pacers
Indiana
104
vs
Timberwolves logo
Timberwolves
Minnesota
124
IND 13%87% MIN
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

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VenueGainbridge Fieldhouse
Indianapolis, IN

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Timberwolves (away)
Pacers (home)
87%
Win probability
13%
2
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Timberwolves defeated the Pacers 124-104.

Our model predicted the Timberwolves would win with 87% confidence -- and they delivered. This was a high-confidence call that played out as expected.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Offensive Efficiency favored the Timberwolves and was a major factor: Timberwolves offense (118.6 PPG) outpaces Pacers (111.3 PPG)
  • Defensive Efficiency favored the Timberwolves and was a major factor: Timberwolves defense (114.8 Opp PPG) better than Pacers (120.4 Opp PPG)
  • Recent Form favored the Timberwolves and was a notable factor: Timberwolves (43-28) in better form than Pacers (15-56)

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Timberwolves won 104-124

Timberwolves won convincingly

Prediction CorrectWe predicted Timberwolves at 87%

What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

MIN
IND
Offensive Efficiency
Defensive Efficiency
Recent Form
Home Field Advantage
Favours MIN|Favours IND

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

Offensive Efficiency

Timberwolves offense (118.6 PPG) outpaces Pacers (111.3 PPG)

Timberwolves

Defensive Efficiency

Timberwolves defense (114.8 Opp PPG) better than Pacers (120.4 Opp PPG)

Timberwolves

Recent Form

Timberwolves (43-28) in better form than Pacers (15-56)

Timberwolves

Turnover Differential

Pacers turnover differential (+0) vs Timberwolves (+0)

Neutral
Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 4/7/2026, 8:30:01 AM

Key Players

Timberwolves

Anthony EdwardsG
Zyon PullinG
Bones HylandG
Terrence Shannon Jr.G
Jaylen ClarkG

Pacers

Kobe BrownG
Quenton JacksonG
Kam JonesG
T.J. McConnellG
Andrew NembhardG

Frequently Asked Questions

Pacers has a 13% win probability, while Timberwolves has a 87% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis, IN.

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