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Sacramento Kings at Golden State Warriors

NBAregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Warriors logo
Warriors
Golden State
110
vs
Kings logo
Kings
Sacramento
105
GSW 88%12% SAC
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

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VenueChase Center
San Francisco, CA

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Kings (away)
Warriors (home)
12%
Win probability
88%
0
High-impact factors
2
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Warriors defeated the Kings 110-105.

Our model predicted the Warriors would win with 88% confidence -- and they delivered. This was a high-confidence call that played out as expected.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Defensive Efficiency favored the Warriors and was a major factor: Warriors defense (114.7 Opp PPG) better than Kings (121.0 Opp PPG)
  • Offensive Efficiency favored the Warriors and was a major factor: Warriors offense (114.8 PPG) outpaces Kings (110.8 PPG)
  • Recent Form favored the Warriors and was a notable factor: Warriors (33-38) in better form than Kings (18-53)

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Warriors won 110-105

Warriors won by a solid margin

Prediction CorrectWe predicted Warriors at 88%

What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

SAC
GSW
Defensive Efficiency
Offensive Efficiency
Recent Form
Home Field Advantage
Favours SAC|Favours GSW

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

Defensive Efficiency

Warriors defense (114.7 Opp PPG) better than Kings (121.0 Opp PPG)

Warriors

Offensive Efficiency

Warriors offense (114.8 PPG) outpaces Kings (110.8 PPG)

Warriors

Recent Form

Warriors (33-38) in better form than Kings (18-53)

Warriors

Turnover Differential

Warriors turnover differential (+0) vs Kings (+0)

Neutral
Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 4/7/2026, 8:30:01 AM

Key Players

Kings

Nique CliffordG
DeMar DeRozanG
Killian HayesG
Zach LaVineG
Malik MonkG

Warriors

Pat SpencerG
Nate WilliamsG
Seth CurryG
De'Anthony MeltonG
Moses MoodyG

Frequently Asked Questions

Warriors has a 88% win probability, while Kings has a 12% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Chase Center in San Francisco, CA.

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