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Detroit Tigers at Athletics Athletics

MLBregular โ€ข 2026-2027 Season
completed
Athletics logo
Athletics
Athletics
0
vs
Tigers logo
Tigers
Detroit
11
OAK 55%45% DET
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

Athletics Athletics 55% to win. The biggest signal favoring Athletics:

  • Home Field Advantage. Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)

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VenueSutter Health Park
Sacramento, California

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Tigers (away)
Athletics (home)
45%
Win probability
55%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Tigers defeated the Oakland Athletics 11-0.

Our model predicted the Oakland Athletics would win with 55% confidence, but the Tigers pulled off the upset. These outcomes are what keep sports compelling -- and help our model learn.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Home Field Advantage favored the Oakland Athletics and was a notable factor: Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
  • Offensive Efficiency was neutral and a contributing factor: No offensive stats available for comparison
  • Recent Form was neutral and a contributing factor: No recent form data available

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Tigers won 0-11

Tigers won comfortably

Prediction IncorrectWe predicted Athletics at 55%

Key Factors

What's driving the win probability for this game

  • Home Field AdvantageFavors Athletics Athletics
  • Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
  • Recent FormNeutral
  • Weather ImpactNeutral
  • ELO RatingNeutral
  • Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
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What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

DET
OAK
Home Field Advantage
Favours DET|Favours OAK

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Model vs. Market

Comparing our probability model against Vegas odds

Athletics

Our Model55%

Tigers

Our Model45%

Understanding the win probability calculation

1 factor not shown (insufficient data)

Model version: 1.1.0 โ€ข Calculated: 8/2/2026, 8:00:02 PM

Key Players

Tigers

River RyanSP
Jackson JobeSP
Troy MeltonSP
Jackson WolfSP
Framber ValdezSP

Athletics

Joe RockRP
Jack PerkinsSP
Luis SeverinoSP
Jeffrey SpringsSP
Luis MoralesSP

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Athletics has a 55% win probability, while Tigers has a 45% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Sutter Health Park in Sacramento, California.

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