MLB2026 season
Atlanta Braves vs Washington Nationals
Head-to-head win probability for MLB. Next meeting when one is scheduled, otherwise the most recent game. This season's results use the last pre-kickoff number.
Most recent meeting
Sun, Aug 2, 2026
This season
2026 meetings. Pre-kickoff win probability and the result.
- WSH at ATLSun, Aug 2, 2026ATL 52%ATL 2–4
- WSH at ATLSat, Aug 1, 2026ATL 52%ATL 3–8
- WSH at ATLFri, Jul 31, 2026ATL 52%ATL 2–6
- WSH at ATLThu, Jul 30, 2026ATL 46%ATL 4–5
- WSH at ATLSun, May 24, 2026ATL 52%WSH 2–1
- WSH at ATLSat, May 23, 2026ATL 52%WSH 2–0
- WSH at ATLFri, May 22, 2026ATL 52%ATL 4–5
- ATL at WSHThu, Apr 23, 2026WSH 55%ATL 7–2
- ATL at WSHWed, Apr 22, 2026WSH 55%ATL 8–6
- ATL at WSHTue, Apr 21, 2026WSH 55%WSH 4–11
- ATL at WSHMon, Apr 20, 2026WSH 62%ATL 9–4
Model record on this matchup
Graded on the last pre-kickoff win probability, the same rule as the accuracy page. Preseason excluded.
Hit rate
45%
5 of 11 decided games
Meetings graded
11
2026
Correct calls
5
Favorite won
Factor comparison
Each team's top factors from this page's featured meeting.
Atlanta Braves
- Home Field Advantage — Braves are 50-24 at home this season; Dodgers are 45-26 on the road
Washington Nationals
- Injuries — Nationals healthier (0 out, 0 doubtful) vs Mets (8 out, 0 doubtful)
- Offensive Efficiency — Nationals offense (5.1 R/G) outpaces Mets (4.3 R/G)
- Home Field Advantage — Nationals are 31-39 at home this season; Mets are 34-40 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)
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