PlayDecoded
Menu

Tampa Bay Lightning at Utah Utah Hockey Club

NHLregular • 2026-27 Season
Scheduled
vs
Lightning logo
Lightning
Tampa Bay
0
UTA 42%58% TBL
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

Tampa Bay Lightning 58% to win. The top 3 signals favoring Lightning:

  • Injuries. Lightning healthier: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs Utah Hockey Club 2 out, 0 doubtful
  • Rest Days. Lightning rest advantage (3 days rest) over Utah Hockey Club (1 day rest)
  • Recent Form. Lightning (7-2) in better form than Utah Hockey Club (7-4)

Make Your Prediction

Sign in to make predictions

View leaderboard to see rankings

VenueDelta Center
Salt Lake City, UT

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Lightning (away)
Utah Hockey Club (home)
58%
Win probability
42%
1
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
2

Game Preview

Lightning at Utah Hockey Club

The Lightning visit the Utah Hockey Club at Delta Center in Salt Lake City, UT in 2027-2028 NHL regular play.

Our model gives the Lightning a 58% chance of winning, making this a competitive contest. For the Utah Hockey Club to win, several key factors would need to swing their way.

Key factors driving this prediction:

  • Injuries favors the Lightning (high): Lightning healthier: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs Utah Hockey Club 2 out, 0 doubtful
  • Home Field Advantage favors the Utah Hockey Club (medium): Utah Hockey Club are 4-1 at home this season; Lightning are 3-3 on the road
  • Rest Days favors the Lightning (low): Lightning rest advantage (3 days rest) over Utah Hockey Club (1 day rest)
  • The Utah Hockey Club are without 2 player(s) due to injury, which could tilt the matchup.
Lightning58%

is favored to win

Key Factor
Injuries
Favors TBL

Key Factors

What's driving the win probability for this game

  • InjuriesFavors Tampa Bay Lightning
  • Home Field AdvantageFavors Utah Utah Hockey Club
  • Rest DaysFavors Tampa Bay Lightning
  • Recent FormFavors Tampa Bay Lightning
  • ELO RatingFavors Tampa Bay Lightning
  • Turnover DifferentialNeutral
Sign in to see factor scores, charts, and what-if simulations

What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

TBL
UTA
Injuries
Home Field Advantage
Rest Days
Recent Form
ELO Rating
Favours TBL|Favours UTA

Premium feature: factor breakdown

Start 14-day free trial →

Understanding the win probability calculation

Injuries

Lightning healthier: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs Utah Hockey Club 2 out, 0 doubtful

Lightning
Model version: 1.1.0 • Calculated: 10/24/2026, 3:00:21 AM

Utah Hockey Club

Maveric LamoureuxD(Shoulder)
OUT
John MarinoD(Upper Body)
QUESTIONABLE
Michael CarconeLW(Upper Body)
OUT

Lightning

No injuries reported

Key Players

Lightning

Dennis HildebyG
Andrei VasilevskiyG
Brayden PointC
Jansen HarkinsC
Conor GeekieC

Utah Hockey Club

Sebastian CossaG
Karel VejmelkaG
Barrett HaytonC
Vincent TrocheckC
Kevin StenlundC

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Utah Hockey Club has a 42% win probability, while Lightning has a 58% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Delta Center in Salt Lake City, UT.

View all NHL games