New York Islanders at Anaheim Ducks
Anaheim Ducks vs New York Islanders head-to-head
Anaheim Ducks 54% to win. The biggest signal favoring Ducks:
- Home Field Advantage. Ducks are 2-4 at home this season; Islanders are 2-4 on the road
What would change the call
Win probability if a leading factor were even
- If the home-field edge were neutral: ANA 51% (−3)
- If the recent-form edge were neutral: ANA 55% (+1)
- If the rating edge were neutral: ANA 55% (+1)
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Game Preview
Islanders at Ducks
The Islanders visit the Ducks at Honda Center in Anaheim, CA in 2026-27 NHL regular season play.
Our model gives the Ducks a 54% chance of winning, making this an extremely close matchup. For the Islanders to win, several key factors would need to swing their way.
Key factors driving this prediction:
- Home Field Advantage favors the Ducks (medium): Ducks are 2-4 at home this season; Islanders are 2-4 on the road
- Recent Form is neutral: Similar form: Ducks (5-6) vs Islanders (5-3)
- ELO Rating is neutral: Ducks ELO 1456 vs Islanders ELO 1466 (diff: -9)
is slightly favored to win
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Anaheim Ducks
- Recent FormNeutral
- ELO RatingNeutral
- Rest DaysNeutral
- Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Turnover DifferentialNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
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Key Players
Islanders
Ducks
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
More games
Next and previous games for each team, plus others from this date. Win probabilities use the same display assessment as the game page.
Anaheim Ducks
- Previous game63%PHI win probability
- Next game57%ANA win probability
New York Islanders
- Previous game63%NYI win probability
- Next game56%NYI win probability
Other games on Nov 14, 2026
- 62%CAR win probability
- 53%CHI win probability
- 63%TBL win probability
- 55%PIT win probability
Frequently Asked Questions
Ducks has a 54% win probability, while Islanders has a 46% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Honda Center in Anaheim, CA.