Calgary Flames at Anaheim Ducks
Anaheim Ducks vs Calgary Flames head-to-head
Anaheim Ducks 57% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Ducks:
- Home Field Advantage. Ducks are 2-4 at home this season; Flames are 1-5 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)
- Recent Form. Ducks (5-6) in better form than Flames (4-6)
What would change the call
Win probability if a leading factor were even
- If the home-field edge were neutral: ANA 53% (−4)
- If the recent-form edge were neutral: ANA 56% (−1)
- If the rating edge were neutral: ANA 57% (0)
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Game Preview
Flames at Ducks
The Flames visit the Ducks at Honda Center in Anaheim, CA in 2026-27 NHL regular season play.
Our model gives the Ducks a 57% chance of winning, making this a competitive contest. For the Flames to win, several key factors would need to swing their way.
Key factors driving this prediction:
- Home Field Advantage favors the Ducks (medium): Ducks are 2-4 at home this season; Flames are 1-5 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)
- Recent Form favors the Ducks (low): Ducks (5-6) in better form than Flames (4-6)
- ELO Rating is neutral: Ducks ELO 1456 vs Flames ELO 1448 (diff: +9)
is favored to win
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Anaheim Ducks
- Recent FormFavors Anaheim Ducks
- ELO RatingNeutral
- Turnover DifferentialNeutral
- Head to HeadNeutral
- InjuriesNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
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Key Players
Flames
Ducks
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
More games
Next and previous games for each team, plus others from this date. Win probabilities use the same display assessment as the game page.
Anaheim Ducks
- Previous game63%PHI win probability
- Next game59%STL win probability
Calgary Flames
- Previous game63%CGY win probability
- Next game58%SJS win probability
Other games on Nov 15, 2026
- 57%EDM win probability
- 60%DAL win probability
- 67%VGK win probability
- 59%SJS win probability
Frequently Asked Questions
Ducks has a 57% win probability, while Flames has a 43% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Honda Center in Anaheim, CA.