Calgary Flames at San Jose Sharks
Calgary Flames vs San Jose Sharks head-to-head
San Jose Sharks 58% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Sharks:
- Home Field Advantage. Sharks are 3-3 at home this season; Flames are 1-5 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)
- Recent Form. Sharks (6-5) in better form than Flames (4-6)
What would change the call
Win probability if a leading factor were even
- If the home-field edge were neutral: SJS 53% (−5)
- If the recent-form edge were neutral: SJS 57% (−1)
- If the rating edge were neutral: SJS 58% (0)
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Game Preview
Flames at Sharks
The Flames visit the Sharks at SAP Center at San Jose in San Jose, CA in 2026-27 NHL regular season play.
Our model gives the Sharks a 58% chance of winning, making this a competitive contest. For the Flames to win, several key factors would need to swing their way.
Key factors driving this prediction:
- Home Field Advantage favors the Sharks (medium): Sharks are 3-3 at home this season; Flames are 1-5 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)
- Recent Form favors the Sharks (low): Sharks (6-5) in better form than Flames (4-6)
- ELO Rating is neutral: Sharks ELO 1454 vs Flames ELO 1448 (diff: +6)
is favored to win
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Home Field AdvantageFavors San Jose Sharks
- Recent FormFavors San Jose Sharks
- ELO RatingNeutral
- InjuriesNeutral
- Rest DaysNeutral
- Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
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Key Players
Flames
Sharks
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
More games
Next and previous games for each team, plus others from this date. Win probabilities use the same display assessment as the game page.
San Jose Sharks
- Previous game75%BOS win probability
- Next game52%SJS win probability
Calgary Flames
- Previous game63%CGY win probability
- Next game52%CGY win probability
Other games on Nov 17, 2026
- 55%PHI win probability
- 52%EDM win probability
- 67%BOS win probability
- 56%NYI win probability
Frequently Asked Questions
Sharks has a 58% win probability, while Flames has a 42% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at SAP Center at San Jose in San Jose, CA.