Minnesota Wild at Calgary Flames
Calgary Flames vs Minnesota Wild head-to-head
Calgary Flames 52% to win. The biggest signal favoring Flames:
- Home Field Advantage. Flames are 4-4 at home this season; Wild are 3-7 on the road
What would change the call
Win probability if a leading factor were even
- If the home-field edge were neutral: CGY 47% (−5)
- If the rating edge were neutral: CGY 54% (+2)
- If the recent-form edge were neutral: CGY 54% (+2)
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Game Preview
Wild at Flames
The Wild visit the Flames at Scotiabank Saddledome in Calgary, AB in 2026-27 NHL regular season play.
Our model gives the Flames a 52% chance of winning, making this an extremely close matchup. For the Wild to win, several key factors would need to swing their way.
Key factors driving this prediction:
- Home Field Advantage favors the Flames (medium): Flames are 4-4 at home this season; Wild are 3-7 on the road
- ELO Rating favors the Wild (low): Flames ELO 1448 vs Wild ELO 1519 (diff: -71)
- Recent Form favors the Wild (low): Wild (7-3) in better form than Flames (4-6)
is slightly favored to win
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Calgary Flames
- ELO RatingFavors Minnesota Wild
- Recent FormFavors Minnesota Wild
- Rest DaysNeutral
- InjuriesNeutral
- Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
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Key Players
Wild
Flames
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
More games
Next and previous games for each team, plus others from this date. Win probabilities use the same display assessment as the game page.
Calgary Flames
- Previous game63%CGY win probability
- Next game60%CGY win probability
Minnesota Wild
- Previous game64%SEA win probability
- Next game53%MIN win probability
Other games on Nov 19, 2026
- 57%PIT win probability
- 65%WSH win probability
- 62%CAR win probability
- 65%OTT win probability
Frequently Asked Questions
Flames has a 52% win probability, while Wild has a 48% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Scotiabank Saddledome in Calgary, AB.