Montreal Canadiens at Carolina Hurricanes
Carolina Hurricanes vs Montreal Canadiens head-to-head
Carolina Hurricanes 62% to win. The top 3 signals favoring Hurricanes:
- Home Field Advantage. Hurricanes are 4-2 at home this season; Canadiens are 3-3 on the road
- ELO Rating. Hurricanes ELO 1611 vs Canadiens ELO 1526 (diff: +85)
- Recent Form. Hurricanes (9-2) in better form than Canadiens (5-3)
What would change the call
Win probability if a leading factor were even
- If the home-field edge were neutral: CAR 57% (−5)
- If the rating edge were neutral: CAR 59% (−3)
- If the recent-form edge were neutral: CAR 60% (−2)
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Game Preview
Canadiens at Hurricanes
The Canadiens visit the Hurricanes at Lenovo Center in Raleigh, NC in 2026-27 NHL regular season play.
Our model gives the Hurricanes a 62% chance of winning, giving them a clear but not overwhelming advantage. For the Canadiens to win, several key factors would need to swing their way.
Key factors driving this prediction:
- Home Field Advantage favors the Hurricanes (medium): Hurricanes are 4-2 at home this season; Canadiens are 3-3 on the road
- ELO Rating favors the Hurricanes (low): Hurricanes ELO 1611 vs Canadiens ELO 1526 (diff: +85)
- Recent Form favors the Hurricanes (low): Hurricanes (9-2) in better form than Canadiens (5-3)
is favored to win
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Carolina Hurricanes
- ELO RatingFavors Carolina Hurricanes
- Recent FormFavors Carolina Hurricanes
- Turnover DifferentialNeutral
- Head to HeadNeutral
- InjuriesNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
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Key Players
Canadiens
Hurricanes
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
More games
Next and previous games for each team, plus others from this date. Win probabilities use the same display assessment as the game page.
Carolina Hurricanes
- Previous game57%CAR win probability
- Next game56%CAR win probability
Montreal Canadiens
- Previous game65%CHI win probability
- Next game64%MTL win probability
Other games on Nov 19, 2026
- 57%PIT win probability
- 65%WSH win probability
- 65%OTT win probability
- 61%TOR win probability
Frequently Asked Questions
Hurricanes has a 62% win probability, while Canadiens has a 38% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Lenovo Center in Raleigh, NC.