Philadelphia Flyers at Ottawa Senators
Ottawa Senators vs Philadelphia Flyers head-to-head
Ottawa Senators 65% to win. The top 3 signals favoring Senators:
- Home Field Advantage. Senators are 6-3 at home this season; Flyers are 1-7 on the road
- Recent Form. Senators (8-4) in better form than Flyers (3-7)
- ELO Rating. Senators ELO 1513 vs Flyers ELO 1469 (diff: +44)
What would change the call
Win probability if a leading factor were even
- If the home-field edge were neutral: OTT 58% (−7)
- If the recent-form edge were neutral: OTT 60% (−5)
- If the rating edge were neutral: OTT 63% (−2)
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Game Preview
Flyers at Senators
The Flyers visit the Senators at Canadian Tire Centre in Ottawa, ON in 2026-27 NHL regular season play.
Our model gives the Senators a 65% chance of winning, giving them a clear but not overwhelming advantage. For the Flyers to win, several key factors would need to swing their way.
Key factors driving this prediction:
- Home Field Advantage favors the Senators (medium): Senators are 6-3 at home this season; Flyers are 1-7 on the road
- Recent Form favors the Senators (low): Senators (8-4) in better form than Flyers (3-7)
- ELO Rating favors the Senators (low): Senators ELO 1513 vs Flyers ELO 1469 (diff: +44)
is favored to win
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Ottawa Senators
- Recent FormFavors Ottawa Senators
- ELO RatingFavors Ottawa Senators
- Rest DaysNeutral
- InjuriesNeutral
- Head to HeadNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
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Key Players
Flyers
Senators
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
More games
Next and previous games for each team, plus others from this date. Win probabilities use the same display assessment as the game page.
Ottawa Senators
- Previous game70%OTT win probability
- Next game63%OTT win probability
Philadelphia Flyers
- Previous game63%PHI win probability
- Next game64%MTL win probability
Other games on Nov 19, 2026
- 57%PIT win probability
- 65%WSH win probability
- 62%CAR win probability
- 61%TOR win probability
Frequently Asked Questions
Senators has a 65% win probability, while Flyers has a 35% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Canadian Tire Centre in Ottawa, ON.