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New York Rangers at Ottawa Senators

NHLregular โ€ข 2026-27 Season
Scheduled
Senators logo
Senators
Ottawa
0
vs
Rangers logo
Rangers
New York
0
OTT 44%56% NYR
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

New York Rangers 56% to win. The biggest signal favoring Rangers:

  • Injuries. Rangers healthier: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs Senators 4 out, 0 doubtful

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VenueCanadian Tire Centre
Ottawa, ON

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Rangers (away)
Senators (home)
56%
Win probability
44%
1
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
4

Game Preview

Rangers at Senators

The Rangers visit the Senators at Canadian Tire Centre in Ottawa, ON in 2027-2028 NHL regular play.

Our model gives the Rangers a 56% chance of winning, making this a competitive contest. For the Senators to win, several key factors would need to swing their way.

Key factors driving this prediction:

  • Injuries favors the Rangers (high): Rangers healthier: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs Senators 4 out, 0 doubtful
  • Home Field Advantage favors the Senators (medium): Senators are 5-3 at home this season; Rangers are 2-6 on the road
  • ELO Rating is neutral: Senators ELO 1505 vs Rangers ELO 1523 (diff: -18)
  • The Senators are without 4 player(s) due to injury, which could tilt the matchup.
Rangers56%

is favored to win

Key Factor
Injuries
Favors NYR

Key Factors

What's driving the win probability for this game

  • InjuriesFavors New York Rangers
  • Home Field AdvantageFavors Ottawa Senators
  • ELO RatingNeutral
  • Recent FormNeutral
  • Head to HeadNeutral
  • Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
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What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

NYR
OTT
Injuries
Home Field Advantage
ELO Rating
Recent Form
Favours NYR|Favours OTT

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Model vs. Market

Comparing our model against market-implied probabilities

Senators

Our Model44%

Rangers

Our Model56%

Understanding the win probability calculation

Injuries

Rangers healthier: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs Senators 4 out, 0 doubtful

Rangers
Model version: 1.1.0 โ€ข Calculated: 10/24/2026, 3:00:18 AM

Senators

Thomas ChabotD(Upper Body)
OUT
Linus UllmarkG(Lower Body)
OUT
William EklundLW(Ankle)
OUT
Kurtis MacDermidLW(Upper Body)
OUT

Rangers

No injuries reported

Key Players

Rangers

No player data available

Senators

Samuel ErssonG
Linus UllmarkGOUT
-0.5% win prob impact
Stephen HallidayC
Ridly GreigC
Tim StutzleC

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Senators has a 44% win probability, while Rangers has a 56% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Canadian Tire Centre in Ottawa, ON.

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