Edmonton Oilers at Carolina Hurricanes
Carolina Hurricanes vs Edmonton Oilers head-to-head
Carolina Hurricanes 56% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Hurricanes:
- ELO Rating. Hurricanes ELO 1611 vs Oilers ELO 1549 (diff: +62)
- Home Field Advantage. Hurricanes are 4-2 at home this season; Oilers are 7-0 on the road
What would change the call
Win probability if a leading factor were even
- If the rating edge were neutral: CAR 53% (−3)
- If the home-field edge were neutral: CAR 54% (−2)
- If the recent-form edge were neutral: CAR 56% (0)
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Game Preview
Oilers at Hurricanes
The Oilers visit the Hurricanes at Lenovo Center in Raleigh, NC in 2026-27 NHL regular season play.
Our model gives the Hurricanes a 56% chance of winning, making this a competitive contest. For the Oilers to win, several key factors would need to swing their way.
Key factors driving this prediction:
- ELO Rating favors the Hurricanes (low): Hurricanes ELO 1611 vs Oilers ELO 1549 (diff: +62)
- Home Field Advantage favors the Hurricanes (low): Hurricanes are 4-2 at home this season; Oilers are 7-0 on the road
- Recent Form is neutral: Similar form: Hurricanes (9-2) vs Oilers (8-2)
is favored to win
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- ELO RatingFavors Carolina Hurricanes
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Carolina Hurricanes
- Recent FormNeutral
- Turnover DifferentialNeutral
- Head to HeadNeutral
- InjuriesNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
Get the weekly model report card
Every Monday: last week's hit rate, Brier score, and the model's biggest misses. One email a week.
Key Players
Oilers
Hurricanes
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
More games
Next and previous games for each team, plus others from this date. Win probabilities use the same display assessment as the game page.
Carolina Hurricanes
- Previous game57%CAR win probability
- Next game50%NYR win probability
Edmonton Oilers
- Previous game65%EDM win probability
- Next game51%EDM win probability
Other games on Nov 21, 2026
- 60%CGY win probability
- 54%NSH win probability
- 59%FLA win probability
- 59%TOR win probability
Frequently Asked Questions
Hurricanes has a 56% win probability, while Oilers has a 44% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Lenovo Center in Raleigh, NC.