Columbus Blue Jackets at Toronto Maple Leafs
Columbus Blue Jackets vs Toronto Maple Leafs head-to-head
Toronto Maple Leafs 59% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Maple Leafs:
- Home Field Advantage. Maple Leafs are 5-5 at home this season; Blue Jackets are 1-3 on the road
- Recent Form. Maple Leafs (7-4) in better form than Blue Jackets (4-5)
What would change the call
Win probability if a leading factor were even
- If the home-field edge were neutral: TOR 54% (−5)
- If the recent-form edge were neutral: TOR 57% (−2)
- If the rating edge were neutral: TOR 59% (0)
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Game Preview
Blue Jackets at Maple Leafs
The Blue Jackets visit the Maple Leafs at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, ON in 2026-27 NHL regular season play.
Our model gives the Maple Leafs a 59% chance of winning, making this a competitive contest. For the Blue Jackets to win, several key factors would need to swing their way.
Key factors driving this prediction:
- Home Field Advantage favors the Maple Leafs (medium): Maple Leafs are 5-5 at home this season; Blue Jackets are 1-3 on the road
- Recent Form favors the Maple Leafs (low): Maple Leafs (7-4) in better form than Blue Jackets (4-5)
- ELO Rating is neutral: Maple Leafs ELO 1491 vs Blue Jackets ELO 1483 (diff: +8)
is favored to win
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Toronto Maple Leafs
- Recent FormFavors Toronto Maple Leafs
- ELO RatingNeutral
- Rest DaysNeutral
- InjuriesNeutral
- Head to HeadNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
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Key Players
Blue Jackets
Maple Leafs
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
More games
Next and previous games for each team, plus others from this date. Win probabilities use the same display assessment as the game page.
Toronto Maple Leafs
- Previous game65%EDM win probability
- Next game-No model yet
Columbus Blue Jackets
- Previous game59%CBJ win probability
- Next game-No model yet
Other games on Nov 21, 2026
- 56%CAR win probability
- 60%CGY win probability
- 54%NSH win probability
- 59%FLA win probability
Frequently Asked Questions
Maple Leafs has a 59% win probability, while Blue Jackets has a 41% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, ON.