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Detroit Red Wings at Calgary Flames

NHLregular • 2026-27 Season
Scheduled
Flames logo
Flames
Calgary
0
vs
Red Wings logo
Red Wings
Detroit
0
CGY 63%37% DET
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

Calgary Flames 63% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Flames:

  • Injuries. Flames healthier: 2 out, 0 doubtful vs Red Wings 3 out, 0 doubtful
  • Home Field Advantage. Flames are 3-4 at home this season; Red Wings are 2-3 on the road

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VenueScotiabank Saddledome
Calgary, AB

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Red Wings (away)
Flames (home)
37%
Win probability
63%
0
High-impact factors
1
3
Players ruled out
2

Game Preview

Red Wings at Flames

The Red Wings visit the Flames at Scotiabank Saddledome in Calgary, AB in 2027-2028 NHL regular play.

Our model gives the Flames a 63% chance of winning, giving them a clear but not overwhelming advantage. For the Red Wings to win, several key factors would need to swing their way.

Key factors driving this prediction:

  • Injuries favors the Flames (high): Flames healthier: 2 out, 0 doubtful vs Red Wings 3 out, 0 doubtful
  • Home Field Advantage favors the Flames (medium): Flames are 3-4 at home this season; Red Wings are 2-3 on the road
  • ELO Rating favors the Red Wings (low): Flames ELO 1439 vs Red Wings ELO 1476 (diff: -36)
  • Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Flames have 2 player(s) ruled out, while the Red Wings have 3.
Flames63%

is favored to win

Key Factor
Injuries
Favors CGY

Key Factors

What's driving the win probability for this game

  • InjuriesFavors Calgary Flames
  • Home Field AdvantageFavors Calgary Flames
  • ELO RatingFavors Detroit Red Wings
  • Recent FormFavors Detroit Red Wings
  • Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
  • Head to HeadNeutral
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What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

DET
CGY
Injuries
Home Field Advantage
ELO Rating
Recent Form
Favours DET|Favours CGY

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Understanding the win probability calculation

Injuries

Flames healthier: 2 out, 0 doubtful vs Red Wings 3 out, 0 doubtful

Flames
Model version: 1.1.0 • Calculated: 10/24/2026, 3:00:21 AM

Flames

Mikael BacklundC(Upper Body)
QUESTIONABLE
Jonathan HuberdeauLW(Hip)
OUT
Samuel HonzekLW(Lower Body)
OUT

Red Wings

Marco KasperC(Upper Body)
OUT
Mason AppletonC(Undisclosed)
OUT
Simon EdvinssonD(Contract Dispute)
OUT
John GibsonG(Upper Body)
QUESTIONABLE
Daniil TarasovG(Undisclosed)
QUESTIONABLE

Key Players

Red Wings

Daniil TarasovGQUESTIONABLE
John GibsonGQUESTIONABLE
Sheldon DriesC
Mason AppletonCOUT
-5.1% win prob impact
Marco KasperCOUT
-5.1% win prob impact

Flames

Dustin WolfG
Devin CooleyG
Mikael BacklundCQUESTIONABLE
Yegor SharangovichC
Ryan StromeC

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Flames has a 63% win probability, while Red Wings has a 37% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Scotiabank Saddledome in Calgary, AB.

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Red Wings at Flames, Oct 24, 2026: Win Probability | PlayDecoded