Buffalo Sabres at Philadelphia Flyers
Buffalo Sabres vs Philadelphia Flyers head-to-head
Philadelphia Flyers 55% to win. The biggest signal favoring Flyers:
- Home Field Advantage. Flyers are 3-6 at home this season; Sabres are 1-6 on the road
What would change the call
Win probability if a leading factor were even
- If the home-field edge were neutral: PHI 50% (−5)
- If the recent-form edge were neutral: PHI 56% (+1)
- If the rating edge were neutral: PHI 55% (0)
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Game Preview
Sabres at Flyers
The Sabres visit the Flyers at Xfinity Mobile Arena in Philadelphia, PA in 2026-27 NHL regular season play.
Our model gives the Flyers a 55% chance of winning, making this an extremely close matchup. For the Sabres to win, several key factors would need to swing their way.
Key factors driving this prediction:
- Home Field Advantage favors the Flyers (medium): Flyers are 3-6 at home this season; Sabres are 1-6 on the road
- Recent Form favors the Sabres (low): Sabres (4-4) in better form than Flyers (3-7)
- ELO Rating is neutral: Flyers ELO 1469 vs Sabres ELO 1484 (diff: -15)
is slightly favored to win
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Philadelphia Flyers
- Recent FormFavors Buffalo Sabres
- ELO RatingNeutral
- Turnover DifferentialNeutral
- Head to HeadNeutral
- InjuriesNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
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Key Players
Sabres
Flyers
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
More games
Next and previous games for each team, plus others from this date. Win probabilities use the same display assessment as the game page.
Philadelphia Flyers
- Previous game63%PHI win probability
- Next game65%OTT win probability
Buffalo Sabres
- Previous game73%WSH win probability
- Next game65%WSH win probability
Other games on Nov 17, 2026
- 52%EDM win probability
- 67%BOS win probability
- 56%NYI win probability
- 58%TBL win probability
Frequently Asked Questions
Flyers has a 55% win probability, while Sabres has a 45% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Xfinity Mobile Arena in Philadelphia, PA.