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San Jose Sharks at Boston Bruins

NHLregular • 2026-27 Season
Scheduled
Bruins logo
Bruins
Boston
0
vs
Sharks logo
Sharks
San Jose
0
BOS 75%25% SJS
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

Boston Bruins 75% to win. The top 3 signals favoring Bruins:

  • Injuries. Bruins healthier: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs Sharks 4 out, 0 doubtful
  • Home Field Advantage. Bruins are 6-1 at home this season; Sharks are 5-4 on the road
  • ELO Rating. Bruins ELO 1543 vs Sharks ELO 1458 (diff: +85)

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VenueTD Garden
Boston, MA

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Sharks (away)
Bruins (home)
25%
Win probability
75%
0
High-impact factors
1
4
Players ruled out
0

Game Preview

Sharks at Bruins

The Sharks visit the Bruins at TD Garden in Boston, MA in 2027-2028 NHL regular play.

Our model gives the Bruins a 75% chance of winning, signaling a strong lean in this matchup. For the Sharks to win, several key factors would need to swing their way.

Key factors driving this prediction:

  • Injuries favors the Bruins (high): Bruins healthier: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs Sharks 4 out, 0 doubtful
  • Home Field Advantage favors the Bruins (medium): Bruins are 6-1 at home this season; Sharks are 5-4 on the road
  • ELO Rating favors the Bruins (low): Bruins ELO 1543 vs Sharks ELO 1458 (diff: +85)
  • The Sharks are without 4 player(s) due to injury, which could tilt the matchup.
Bruins75%

is strongly favored to win

Key Factor
Injuries
Favors BOS

Key Factors

What's driving the win probability for this game

  • InjuriesFavors Boston Bruins
  • Home Field AdvantageFavors Boston Bruins
  • ELO RatingFavors Boston Bruins
  • Recent FormFavors Boston Bruins
  • Turnover DifferentialNeutral
  • Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
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What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

SJS
BOS
Injuries
Home Field Advantage
ELO Rating
Recent Form
Favours SJS|Favours BOS

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Model vs. Market

Comparing our model against market-implied probabilities

Bruins

Our Model75%

Sharks

Our Model25%

Understanding the win probability calculation

Injuries

Bruins healthier: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs Sharks 4 out, 0 doubtful

Bruins
Model version: 1.1.0 • Calculated: 10/24/2026, 3:00:24 AM

Bruins

No injuries reported

Sharks

Alexander WennbergC(Upper Body)
OUT
Kyle KeyserG(Upper Body)
OUT
Igor ChernyshovLW(Upper Body)
OUT
Quentin MustyLW(Upper Body)
OUT

Key Players

Sharks

Kyle KeyserGOUT
0.0% win prob impact
Yaroslav AskarovG
Alex NedeljkovicG
Ty DellandreaC
Alex Barre-BouletC

Bruins

Michael DiPietroG
Jeremy SwaymanG
Pavel ZachaC
Casey MittelstadtC
Matthew PoitrasC

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Guide

NHL Win Probability

How we calculate NHL game outcome probabilities

4 min readRead article

Frequently Asked Questions

Bruins has a 75% win probability, while Sharks has a 25% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at TD Garden in Boston, MA.

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