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Winnipeg Jets at Chicago Blackhawks

Chicago Blackhawks vs Winnipeg Jets head-to-head

NHLregular • 2026-27 Season
Scheduled
Blackhawks logo
Blackhawks
Chicago
53%
vs
Jets logo
Jets
Winnipeg
47%
CHI 53%47% WPG
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

Chicago Blackhawks 53% to win. The biggest signal favoring Blackhawks:

  • Home Field Advantage. Blackhawks are 5-3 at home this season; Jets are 2-5 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)

What would change the call

Win probability if a leading factor were even

  • If the home-field edge were neutral: CHI 48% (−5)
  • If the rating edge were neutral: CHI 55% (+2)
  • If the recent-form edge were neutral: CHI 54% (+1)

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VenueUnited Center
Chicago, IL

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Jets (away)
Blackhawks (home)
47%
Win probability
53%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Game Preview

Jets at Blackhawks

The Jets visit the Blackhawks at United Center in Chicago, IL in 2026-27 NHL regular season play.

Our model gives the Blackhawks a 53% chance of winning, making this an extremely close matchup. For the Jets to win, several key factors would need to swing their way.

Key factors driving this prediction:

  • Home Field Advantage favors the Blackhawks (medium): Blackhawks are 5-3 at home this season; Jets are 2-5 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)
  • ELO Rating favors the Jets (low): Blackhawks ELO 1428 vs Jets ELO 1486 (diff: -57)
  • Recent Form favors the Jets (low): Jets (4-3) in better form than Blackhawks (3-7)
Blackhawks53%

is slightly favored to win

Key Factor
Home Field Advantage
Favors CHI

Key Factors

What's driving the win probability for this game

  • Home Field AdvantageFavors Chicago Blackhawks
  • ELO RatingFavors Winnipeg Jets
  • Recent FormFavors Winnipeg Jets
  • Rest DaysNeutral
  • InjuriesNeutral
  • Head to HeadNeutral
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What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

WPG
CHI
Home Field Advantage
ELO Rating
Recent Form
Favours WPG|Favours CHI

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

1 factor not shown (insufficient data)

Model version: 1.1.0 • Calculated: 10/25/2026, 12:40:02 PM

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Key Players

Jets

Stuart SkinnerG
Connor HellebuyckG
Clay StevensonG
Viggo BjorckC
Adam LowryC

Blackhawks

Spencer KnightG
Arvid SoderblomG
Ryan DonatoC
Connor BedardC
Anton FrondellC

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

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Frequently Asked Questions

Blackhawks has a 53% win probability, while Jets has a 47% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at United Center in Chicago, IL.

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