PlayDecoded
Menu

Chicago Blackhawks at Carolina Hurricanes

Carolina Hurricanes vs Chicago Blackhawks head-to-head

NHLregular • 2026-27 Season
Scheduled
Hurricanes logo
Hurricanes
Carolina
0
vs
Blackhawks logo
Blackhawks
Chicago
0
CAR 57%43% CHI
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

Carolina Hurricanes 57% to win. The top 3 signals favoring Hurricanes:

  • Home Field Advantage. Hurricanes are 4-2 at home this season; Blackhawks are 0-6 on the road
  • ELO Rating. Hurricanes ELO 1602 vs Blackhawks ELO 1428 (diff: +174)
  • Recent Form. Hurricanes (8-2) in better form than Blackhawks (3-7)

What would change the call

Win probability if a leading factor were even

  • If the injury edge were neutral: CAR 70% (+13)
  • If the home-field edge were neutral: CAR 49% (−8)
  • If the rating edge were neutral: CAR 51% (−6)
  • If the recent-form edge were neutral: CAR 53% (−4)

Win probability movement

CAR home win probability as the model updated before the game

Home win probability movement75%63%52%Injuries -12.7Oct 24Oct 25

Labels mark updates of 5 points or more, named by the factor that moved most.

Make Your Prediction

Sign in to make predictions

View leaderboard to see rankings

VenueLenovo Center
Raleigh, NC

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Blackhawks (away)
Hurricanes (home)
43%
Win probability
57%
1
High-impact factors
1
1
Players ruled out
4

Game Preview

Blackhawks at Hurricanes

The Blackhawks visit the Hurricanes at Lenovo Center in Raleigh, NC in 2026-27 NHL regular season play.

Our model gives the Hurricanes a 57% chance of winning, making this a competitive contest. For the Blackhawks to win, several key factors would need to swing their way.

Key factors driving this prediction:

  • Injuries favors the Blackhawks (high): Blackhawks healthier: 1 out, 0 doubtful vs Hurricanes 4 out, 0 doubtful
  • Home Field Advantage favors the Hurricanes (high): Hurricanes are 4-2 at home this season; Blackhawks are 0-6 on the road
  • ELO Rating favors the Hurricanes (medium): Hurricanes ELO 1602 vs Blackhawks ELO 1428 (diff: +174)
  • Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Hurricanes have 4 player(s) ruled out, while the Blackhawks have 1.
Hurricanes57%

is favored to win

Key Factor
Injuries
Favors CHI

Key Factors

What's driving the win probability for this game

  • InjuriesFavors Chicago Blackhawks
  • Home Field AdvantageFavors Carolina Hurricanes
  • ELO RatingFavors Carolina Hurricanes
  • Recent FormFavors Carolina Hurricanes
  • Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
  • Rest DaysNeutral
Sign in to see factor scores, charts, and what-if simulations

What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

CHI
CAR
Injuries
Home Field Advantage
ELO Rating
Recent Form
Favours CHI|Favours CAR

Premium feature: factor breakdown

Start 14-day free trial →

Understanding the win probability calculation

Injuries

Blackhawks healthier: 1 out, 0 doubtful vs Hurricanes 4 out, 0 doubtful

Blackhawks

Home Field Advantage

Hurricanes are 4-2 at home this season; Blackhawks are 0-6 on the road

Hurricanes

1 factor not shown (insufficient data)

Model version: 1.1.0 • Calculated: 10/25/2026, 3:00:56 AM

Get the weekly model report card

Every Monday: last week's hit rate, Brier score, and the model's biggest misses. One email a week.

As of Oct 24, 2026

Hurricanes

Mark JankowskiC(Lower Body)
OUT
Jordan StaalC(Calf)
OUT
Alexander NikishinD(Contract Dispute)
OUT
Taylor HallLW(Upper Body)
OUT

Blackhawks

Bowen ByramD(Upper Body)
OUT

Key Players

Blackhawks

Arvid SoderblomG
Spencer KnightG
Connor BedardC
Anton FrondellC
Ryan GreeneC

Hurricanes

Brandon BussiG
Pyotr KochetkovG
Jesperi KotkaniemiC
Mark JankowskiCOUT
-3.6% win prob impact
Sebastian AhoC

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

More games

Next and previous games for each team, plus others from this date. Win probabilities use the same display assessment as the game page.

Carolina Hurricanes

Chicago Blackhawks

Other games on Nov 8, 2026

Frequently Asked Questions

Hurricanes has a 57% win probability, while Blackhawks has a 43% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Lenovo Center in Raleigh, NC.

View all NHL games