NHL2026-27 season
Chicago Blackhawks vs Tampa Bay Lightning
Head-to-head win probability for NHL. Next meeting when one is scheduled, otherwise the most recent game. This season's results use the last pre-kickoff number.
Next meeting
Thu, Nov 5, 2026
This season
2026-27 meetings. Pre-kickoff win probability and the result.
Model record on this matchup
Graded on the last pre-kickoff win probability, the same rule as the accuracy page. Preseason excluded.
Hit rate
—
No decided games this season
Meetings graded
0
2026-27
Correct calls
0
Favorite won
Factor comparison
Each team's top factors from this page's featured meeting.
Chicago Blackhawks
No recent factors yet.
Tampa Bay Lightning
- Recent Form — Lightning (7-3) in better form than Wild (6-3)
- ELO Rating — Wild ELO 1508 vs Lightning ELO 1536 (diff: -28)
Get the weekly model report card
Every Monday: last week's hit rate, Brier score, and the model's biggest misses. One email a week.