Carolina Hurricanes at New York Islanders
Carolina Hurricanes 53% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Hurricanes:
- ELO Rating. Islanders ELO 1466 vs Hurricanes ELO 1602 (diff: -137)
- Recent Form. Hurricanes (8-2) in better form than Islanders (5-3)
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Game Preview
Hurricanes at Islanders
The Hurricanes visit the Islanders at UBS Arena in Elmont, NY in 2027-2028 NHL regular play.
Our model gives the Hurricanes a 53% chance of winning, making this an extremely close matchup. The Islanders will need to find an edge to pull off the upset.
Key factors driving this prediction:
- ELO Rating favors the Hurricanes (medium): Islanders ELO 1466 vs Hurricanes ELO 1602 (diff: -137)
- Home Field Advantage favors the Islanders (low): Islanders are 4-4 at home this season; Hurricanes are 7-3 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)
- Recent Form favors the Hurricanes (low): Hurricanes (8-2) in better form than Islanders (5-3)
is slightly favored to win
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- ELO RatingFavors Carolina Hurricanes
- Home Field AdvantageFavors New York Islanders
- Recent FormFavors Carolina Hurricanes
- Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Turnover DifferentialNeutral
- Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
1 factor
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Other
Medium impact1 factor
Key Players
Hurricanes
Islanders
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Islanders has a 47% win probability, while Hurricanes has a 53% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at UBS Arena in Elmont, NY.