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Edmonton Oilers at New York Islanders

NHLregular • 2026-27 Season
Scheduled
Islanders logo
Islanders
New York
0
vs
Oilers logo
Oilers
Edmonton
0
NYI 46%54% EDM
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

Edmonton Oilers 54% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Oilers:

  • ELO Rating. Islanders ELO 1466 vs Oilers ELO 1562 (diff: -97)
  • Recent Form. Oilers (8-1) in better form than Islanders (5-3)

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VenueUBS Arena
Elmont, NY

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Oilers (away)
Islanders (home)
54%
Win probability
46%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Game Preview

Oilers at Islanders

The Oilers visit the Islanders at UBS Arena in Elmont, NY in 2027-2028 NHL regular play.

Our model gives the Oilers a 54% chance of winning, making this an extremely close matchup. The Islanders will need to find an edge to pull off the upset.

Key factors driving this prediction:

  • ELO Rating favors the Oilers (low): Islanders ELO 1466 vs Oilers ELO 1562 (diff: -97)
  • Recent Form favors the Oilers (low): Oilers (8-1) in better form than Islanders (5-3)
  • Home Field Advantage is neutral: Islanders are 4-4 at home this season; Oilers are 7-0 on the road
Oilers54%

is slightly favored to win

Key Factor
ELO Rating
Favors EDM

Key Factors

What's driving the win probability for this game

  • ELO RatingFavors Edmonton Oilers
  • Recent FormFavors Edmonton Oilers
  • Home Field AdvantageNeutral
  • InjuriesNeutral
  • Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
  • Head to HeadNeutral
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What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

EDM
NYI
ELO Rating
Recent Form
Home Field Advantage
Favours EDM|Favours NYI

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

Model version: 1.1.0 • Calculated: 10/23/2026, 8:50:02 AM

Key Players

Oilers

Tristan JarryG
Frederik AndersenG
Devon LeviG
Josh SamanskiC
Colton DachC

Islanders

Semyon VarlamovG
Ilya SorokinG
Brayden SchennC
Bo HorvatC
Kyle MacLeanC

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Islanders has a 46% win probability, while Oilers has a 54% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at UBS Arena in Elmont, NY.

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