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New York Islanders at Minnesota Wild

NHLregular • 2026-27 Season
Scheduled
Wild logo
Wild
Minnesota
0
vs
Islanders logo
Islanders
New York
0
MIN 61%39% NYI
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

Minnesota Wild 61% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Wild:

  • Home Field Advantage. Wild are 5-1 at home this season; Islanders are 2-4 on the road
  • ELO Rating. Wild ELO 1508 vs Islanders ELO 1466 (diff: +43)

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VenueGrand Casino Arena
Saint Paul, MN

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Islanders (away)
Wild (home)
39%
Win probability
61%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Game Preview

Islanders at Wild

The Islanders visit the Wild at Grand Casino Arena in Saint Paul, MN in 2027-2028 NHL regular play.

Our model gives the Wild a 61% chance of winning, giving them a clear but not overwhelming advantage. The Islanders will need to find an edge to pull off the upset.

Key factors driving this prediction:

  • Home Field Advantage favors the Wild (medium): Wild are 5-1 at home this season; Islanders are 2-4 on the road
  • ELO Rating favors the Wild (low): Wild ELO 1508 vs Islanders ELO 1466 (diff: +43)
  • Recent Form is neutral: Similar form: Wild (6-3) vs Islanders (5-3)
Wild61%

is favored to win

Key Factor
Home Field Advantage
Favors MIN

Key Factors

What's driving the win probability for this game

  • Home Field AdvantageFavors Minnesota Wild
  • ELO RatingFavors Minnesota Wild
  • Recent FormNeutral
  • InjuriesNeutral
  • Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
  • Head to HeadNeutral
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What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

NYI
MIN
Home Field Advantage
ELO Rating
Recent Form
Favours NYI|Favours MIN

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

Model version: 1.1.0 • Calculated: 10/23/2026, 8:50:02 AM

Key Players

Islanders

Ilya SorokinG
Semyon VarlamovG
Mathew BarzalC
Calum RitchieC
Brayden SchennC

Wild

Jesper WallstedtG
Calvin PickardG
Hunter HaightC
Tyler PitlickC
Yakov TreninC

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Wild has a 61% win probability, while Islanders has a 39% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Grand Casino Arena in Saint Paul, MN.

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