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NHL2026-27 season

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Winnipeg Jets

Head-to-head win probability for NHL. Next meeting when one is scheduled, otherwise the most recent game. This season's results use the last pre-kickoff number.

Next meeting

Thu, Oct 29, 2026

Lightning logo
TBL
Tampa Bay Lightning
Upcoming
Jets logo
WPG
Winnipeg Jets
TBL 76%24% WPG
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This season

2026-27 meetings. Pre-kickoff win probability and the result.

Model record on this matchup

Graded on the last pre-kickoff win probability, the same rule as the accuracy page. Preseason excluded.

Hit rate
—
No decided games this season
Meetings graded
0
2026-27
Correct calls
0
Favorite won

Factor comparison

Each team's top factors from this page's featured meeting.

Tampa Bay Lightning
  • Recent Form — Lightning (7-3) in better form than Wild (6-3)
  • ELO Rating — Wild ELO 1508 vs Lightning ELO 1536 (diff: -28)
Winnipeg Jets
  • Home Field Advantage — Jets are 3-4 at home this season; Canucks are 1-8 on the road
  • Recent Form — Jets (4-3) in better form than Canucks (2-9)
  • ELO Rating — Jets ELO 1486 vs Canucks ELO 1414 (diff: +72)

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