Ottawa Senators at San Jose Sharks
San Jose Sharks 54% to win. The biggest signal favoring Sharks:
- Home Field Advantage. Sharks are 3-3 at home this season; Senators are 3-5 on the road
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Game Preview
Senators at Sharks
The Senators visit the Sharks at SAP Center at San Jose in San Jose, CA in 2027-2028 NHL regular play.
Our model gives the Sharks a 54% chance of winning, making this an extremely close matchup. The Senators will need to find an edge to pull off the upset.
Key factors driving this prediction:
- Home Field Advantage favors the Sharks (medium): Sharks are 3-3 at home this season; Senators are 3-5 on the road
- ELO Rating favors the Senators (low): Sharks ELO 1458 vs Senators ELO 1505 (diff: -46)
- Recent Form favors the Senators (low): Senators (7-4) in better form than Sharks (6-4)
is slightly favored to win
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Home Field AdvantageFavors San Jose Sharks
- ELO RatingFavors Ottawa Senators
- Recent FormFavors Ottawa Senators
- InjuriesNeutral
- Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Head to HeadNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
1 factor
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
Key Players
Senators
Sharks
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Sharks has a 54% win probability, while Senators has a 46% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at SAP Center at San Jose in San Jose, CA.