Portland Trail Blazers at Sacramento Kings
Portland Trail Blazers vs Sacramento Kings head-to-head
Portland Trail Blazers 87% to win. The top 3 signals favoring Trail Blazers:
- Offensive Efficiency. Trail Blazers offense (126.0 PPG) outpaces Kings (108.0 PPG)
- Defensive Efficiency. Trail Blazers defense (101.5 Opp PPG) better than Kings (124.5 Opp PPG)
- ELO Rating. Kings ELO 1327 vs Trail Blazers ELO 1557 (diff: -230)
What would change the call
Win probability if a leading factor were even
- If the offensive efficiency edge were neutral: POR 75% (−12)
- If the defensive efficiency edge were neutral: POR 75% (−12)
- If the rating edge were neutral: POR 82% (−5)
- If the home-field edge were neutral: POR 87% (0)
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Game Preview
Trail Blazers at Kings
The Trail Blazers visit the Kings at Golden 1 Center in Sacramento, CA in 2026-27 NBA regular season play.
Our model gives the Trail Blazers a 87% chance of winning, signaling a strong lean in this matchup. For the Kings to win, several key factors would need to swing their way.
Key factors driving this prediction:
- Offensive Efficiency favors the Trail Blazers (high): Trail Blazers offense (126.0 PPG) outpaces Kings (108.0 PPG)
- Defensive Efficiency favors the Trail Blazers (high): Trail Blazers defense (101.5 Opp PPG) better than Kings (124.5 Opp PPG)
- ELO Rating favors the Trail Blazers (medium): Kings ELO 1327 vs Trail Blazers ELO 1557 (diff: -230)
is strongly favored to win
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Offensive EfficiencyFavors Portland Trail Blazers
- Defensive EfficiencyFavors Portland Trail Blazers
- ELO RatingFavors Portland Trail Blazers
- Home Field AdvantageNeutral
- Turnover DifferentialNeutral
- Rest DaysNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
Offensive Efficiency
Trail Blazers offense (126.0 PPG) outpaces Kings (108.0 PPG)
Defensive Efficiency
Trail Blazers defense (101.5 Opp PPG) better than Kings (124.5 Opp PPG)
Turnover Differential
Kings turnover differential (+0) vs Trail Blazers (+0)
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
Other
Medium impact1 factor
2 factors not shown (insufficient data)
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Key Players
Trail Blazers
Kings
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
More games
Next and previous games for each team, plus others from this date. Win probabilities use the same display assessment as the game page.
Sacramento Kings
- Previous game86%POR win probability
- Next game70%OKC win probability
Portland Trail Blazers
- Previous game86%POR win probability
- Next game51%POR win probability
Other games on Nov 13, 2026
- 61%ORL win probability
- 51%IND win probability
- 79%CLE win probability
- 84%ATL win probability
Frequently Asked Questions
Kings has a 13% win probability, while Trail Blazers has a 87% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Golden 1 Center in Sacramento, CA.