Milwaukee Bucks at Orlando Magic
Milwaukee Bucks vs Orlando Magic head-to-head
Orlando Magic 61% to win. The top 3 signals favoring Magic:
- Defensive Efficiency. Magic defense (123.5 Opp PPG) better than Bucks (129.0 Opp PPG)
- ELO Rating. Magic ELO 1517 vs Bucks ELO 1350 (diff: +167)
- Home Field Advantage. Magic are 2-2 at home this season; Bucks are 2-3 on the road
What would change the call
Win probability if a leading factor were even
- If the offensive efficiency edge were neutral: ORL 77% (+16)
- If the defensive efficiency edge were neutral: ORL 43% (−18)
- If the rating edge were neutral: ORL 55% (−6)
- If the home-field edge were neutral: ORL 56% (−5)
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Game Preview
Bucks at Magic
The Bucks visit the Magic at Kia Center in Orlando, FL in 2026-27 NBA regular season play.
Our model gives the Magic a 61% chance of winning, giving them a clear but not overwhelming advantage. For the Bucks to win, several key factors would need to swing their way.
Key factors driving this prediction:
- Offensive Efficiency favors the Bucks (high): Bucks offense (119.0 PPG) outpaces Magic (109.0 PPG)
- Defensive Efficiency favors the Magic (high): Magic defense (123.5 Opp PPG) better than Bucks (129.0 Opp PPG)
- ELO Rating favors the Magic (medium): Magic ELO 1517 vs Bucks ELO 1350 (diff: +167)
is favored to win
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Offensive EfficiencyFavors Milwaukee Bucks
- Defensive EfficiencyFavors Orlando Magic
- ELO RatingFavors Orlando Magic
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Orlando Magic
- Recent FormNeutral
- Head to HeadNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
Offensive Efficiency
Bucks offense (119.0 PPG) outpaces Magic (109.0 PPG)
Defensive Efficiency
Magic defense (123.5 Opp PPG) better than Bucks (129.0 Opp PPG)
Turnover Differential
Magic turnover differential (+0) vs Bucks (+0)
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
Other
Medium impact1 factor
2 factors not shown (insufficient data)
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Key Players
Bucks
Magic
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
More games
Next and previous games for each team, plus others from this date. Win probabilities use the same display assessment as the game page.
Orlando Magic
- Previous game87%MIN win probability
- Next game81%BOS win probability
Milwaukee Bucks
- Previous game51%PHI win probability
- Next game87%ATL win probability
Other games on Nov 13, 2026
- 51%IND win probability
- 79%CLE win probability
- 84%ATL win probability
- 53%NOP win probability
Frequently Asked Questions
Magic has a 61% win probability, while Bucks has a 39% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Kia Center in Orlando, FL.