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Milwaukee Bucks at Philadelphia 76ers

NBAregular • 2026-27 Season
Scheduled
76ers logo
76ers
Philadelphia
0
vs
Bucks logo
Bucks
Milwaukee
0
PHI 50%50% MIL
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

Philadelphia 76ers 50% to win. The top 3 signals favoring 76ers:

  • Defensive Efficiency. 76ers defense (103.0 Opp PPG) better than Bucks (128.0 Opp PPG)
  • ELO Rating. 76ers ELO 1542 vs Bucks ELO 1367 (diff: +175)
  • Home Field Advantage. 76ers are 2-1 at home this season; Bucks are 2-2 on the road

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VenueXfinity Mobile Arena
Philadelphia, PA

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Bucks (away)
76ers (home)
50%
Win probability
50%
2
High-impact factors
1
0
Players ruled out
3

Game Preview

Bucks at 76ers

The Bucks visit the 76ers at Xfinity Mobile Arena in Philadelphia, PA in 2027-2028 NBA regular play.

Our model gives the 76ers a 50% chance of winning, making this an extremely close matchup. For the Bucks to win, several key factors would need to swing their way.

Key factors driving this prediction:

  • Offensive Efficiency favors the Bucks (high): Bucks offense (116.0 PPG) outpaces 76ers (110.0 PPG)
  • Defensive Efficiency favors the 76ers (high): 76ers defense (103.0 Opp PPG) better than Bucks (128.0 Opp PPG)
  • Injuries favors the Bucks (high): Bucks healthier: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs 76ers 3 out, 0 doubtful
  • The 76ers are without 3 player(s) due to injury, which could tilt the matchup.
76ers50%

is slightly favored to win

Key Factor
Offensive Efficiency
Favors MIL

Key Factors

What's driving the win probability for this game

  • Offensive EfficiencyFavors Milwaukee Bucks
  • Defensive EfficiencyFavors Philadelphia 76ers
  • InjuriesFavors Milwaukee Bucks
  • ELO RatingFavors Philadelphia 76ers
  • Home Field AdvantageFavors Philadelphia 76ers
  • Rest DaysFavors Philadelphia 76ers
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What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

MIL
PHI
Offensive Efficiency
Defensive Efficiency
Injuries
ELO Rating
Home Field Advantage
Rest Days
Favours MIL|Favours PHI

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Model vs. Market

Comparing our model against market-implied probabilities

76ers

Our Model50%

Bucks

Our Model50%

Understanding the win probability calculation

Offensive Efficiency

Bucks offense (116.0 PPG) outpaces 76ers (110.0 PPG)

Bucks

Defensive Efficiency

76ers defense (103.0 Opp PPG) better than Bucks (128.0 Opp PPG)

76ers

Turnover Differential

76ers turnover differential (+0) vs Bucks (+0)

Neutral

Injuries

Bucks healthier: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs 76ers 3 out, 0 doubtful

Bucks

1 factor not shown (insufficient data)

Model version: 1.1.0 • Calculated: 10/24/2026, 3:00:11 AM

76ers

Tacko FallC(Quadriceps)
OUT
Ariel HukportiC(Achilles)
OUT
Dominick BarlowF(Back)
OUT
Dean WadeF(Ankle)
QUESTIONABLE
LeBron JamesF(Back)
QUESTIONABLE

Bucks

No injuries reported

Key Players

Bucks

Brayden BurriesG
Ryan RollinsG
AJ GreenG
Cormac RyanG
Gary Trent Jr.G

76ers

Caleb LoveG
Anfernee SimonsG
Tyrese MaxeyG
Rayan RupertG
Jaylen BrownG

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Guide

NBA Win Probability

How we calculate NBA game outcome probabilities

4 min readRead article
Deep Dive

Back-to-Back Fatigue

How schedule and rest affect NBA game outcomes

3 min readRead article

Frequently Asked Questions

76ers has a 50% win probability, while Bucks has a 50% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Xfinity Mobile Arena in Philadelphia, PA.

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