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Washington Wizards at Chicago Bulls

NBAregular • 2026-27 Season
Scheduled
Bulls logo
Bulls
Chicago
0
vs
Wizards logo
Wizards
Washington
0
CHI 33%67% WSH
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

Washington Wizards 67% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Wizards:

  • Offensive Efficiency. Wizards offense (128.0 PPG) outpaces Bulls (92.0 PPG)
  • Defensive Efficiency. Wizards defense (116.0 Opp PPG) better than Bulls (135.0 Opp PPG)

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VenueUnited Center
Chicago, IL

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Wizards (away)
Bulls (home)
67%
Win probability
33%
2
High-impact factors
1
3
Players ruled out
1

Game Preview

Wizards at Bulls

The Wizards visit the Bulls at United Center in Chicago, IL in 2027-2028 NBA regular play.

Our model gives the Wizards a 67% chance of winning, giving them a clear but not overwhelming advantage. For the Bulls to win, several key factors would need to swing their way.

Key factors driving this prediction:

  • Offensive Efficiency favors the Wizards (high): Wizards offense (128.0 PPG) outpaces Bulls (92.0 PPG)
  • Defensive Efficiency favors the Wizards (high): Wizards defense (116.0 Opp PPG) better than Bulls (135.0 Opp PPG)
  • Injuries favors the Bulls (high): Bulls healthier: 1 out, 0 doubtful vs Wizards 3 out, 0 doubtful
  • Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Bulls have 1 player(s) ruled out, while the Wizards have 3.
Wizards67%

is strongly favored to win

Key Factor
Offensive Efficiency
Favors WSH

Key Factors

What's driving the win probability for this game

  • Offensive EfficiencyFavors Washington Wizards
  • Defensive EfficiencyFavors Washington Wizards
  • InjuriesFavors Chicago Bulls
  • Home Field AdvantageFavors Chicago Bulls
  • ELO RatingFavors Chicago Bulls
  • Turnover DifferentialNeutral
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What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

WSH
CHI
Offensive Efficiency
Defensive Efficiency
Injuries
Home Field Advantage
ELO Rating
Favours WSH|Favours CHI

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Model vs. Market

Comparing our model against market-implied probabilities

Bulls

Our Model33%

Wizards

Our Model67%

Understanding the win probability calculation

Offensive Efficiency

Wizards offense (128.0 PPG) outpaces Bulls (92.0 PPG)

Wizards

Defensive Efficiency

Wizards defense (116.0 Opp PPG) better than Bulls (135.0 Opp PPG)

Wizards

Turnover Differential

Bulls turnover differential (+0) vs Wizards (+0)

Neutral

Injuries

Bulls healthier: 1 out, 0 doubtful vs Wizards 3 out, 0 doubtful

Bulls

1 factor not shown (insufficient data)

Model version: 1.1.0 • Calculated: 10/24/2026, 3:00:14 AM

Bulls

Nic ClaxtonC(Hamstring)
OUT

Wizards

AJ DybantsaF(Ankle)
OUT
Tristan VukcevicF(Hip)
OUT
Jamir WatkinsG(Knee)
OUT

Key Players

Wizards

Alondes WilliamsG
Tre MannG
Trevor KeelsG
Bilal CoulibalyG
Bub CarringtonG

Bulls

Isaiah StevensG
Josh GiddeyG
Buddy HieldG
Tre JonesG
Jordan HawkinsG

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Guide

NBA Win Probability

How we calculate NBA game outcome probabilities

4 min readRead article
Deep Dive

Back-to-Back Fatigue

How schedule and rest affect NBA game outcomes

3 min readRead article

Frequently Asked Questions

Bulls has a 33% win probability, while Wizards has a 67% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at United Center in Chicago, IL.

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