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Cleveland Cavaliers at Philadelphia 76ers

NBAregular • 2026-27 Season
completed
76ers logo
76ers
Philadelphia
114
vs
Cavaliers logo
Cavaliers
Cleveland
106
PHI 50%50% CLE
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

Philadelphia 76ers 50% to win. The top 3 signals favoring 76ers:

  • Offensive Efficiency. 76ers offense (106.0 PPG) outpaces Cavaliers (0.0 PPG)
  • Home Field Advantage. 76ers are 1-1 at home this season; Cavaliers are 0-1 on the road
  • Rest Days. 76ers rest advantage (2 days rest) over Cavaliers (9 days rest)

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VenueXfinity Mobile Arena
Philadelphia, PA

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Cavaliers (away)
76ers (home)
50%
Win probability
50%
2
High-impact factors
1
0
Players ruled out
4

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The 76ers defeated the Cavaliers 114-106.

Our model predicted the 76ers would win with 50% confidence -- and they delivered. A close call, but the model's slight lean proved correct.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Offensive Efficiency favored the 76ers and was a major factor: 76ers offense (106.0 PPG) outpaces Cavaliers (0.0 PPG)
  • Defensive Efficiency favored the Cavaliers and was a major factor: Cavaliers defense (0.0 Opp PPG) better than 76ers (100.0 Opp PPG)
  • Injuries favored the Cavaliers and was a major factor: Cavaliers healthier: 2 out, 0 doubtful vs 76ers 4 out, 0 doubtful
  • The 76ers are without 4 player(s) due to injury, which could tilt the matchup.

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

76ers won 114-106

76ers won comfortably

Prediction CorrectWe predicted 76ers at 50%

Key Factors

What's driving the win probability for this game

  • Offensive EfficiencyFavors Philadelphia 76ers
  • Defensive EfficiencyFavors Cleveland Cavaliers
  • InjuriesFavors Cleveland Cavaliers
  • Home Field AdvantageFavors Philadelphia 76ers
  • Rest DaysFavors Philadelphia 76ers
  • ELO RatingNeutral
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What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

CLE
PHI
Offensive Efficiency
Defensive Efficiency
Injuries
Home Field Advantage
Rest Days
ELO Rating
Favours CLE|Favours PHI

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Model vs. Market

Comparing our model against market-implied probabilities

76ers

Our Model50%

Cavaliers

Our Model50%

Understanding the win probability calculation

Offensive Efficiency

76ers offense (106.0 PPG) outpaces Cavaliers (0.0 PPG)

76ers

Defensive Efficiency

Cavaliers defense (0.0 Opp PPG) better than 76ers (100.0 Opp PPG)

Cavaliers

Turnover Differential

76ers turnover differential (+0) vs Cavaliers (+0)

Neutral

Injuries

Cavaliers healthier: 2 out, 0 doubtful vs 76ers 4 out, 0 doubtful

Cavaliers

1 factor not shown (insufficient data)

Model version: 1.1.0 • Calculated: 10/22/2026, 10:45:04 PM

76ers

Tacko FallC(Quadriceps)
OUT
Ariel HukportiC(Achilles)
OUT
Dean WadeF(Ankle)
OUT
Dominick BarlowF(Back)
OUT

Cavaliers

No injuries reported

Key Players

Cavaliers

Donovan MitchellG
James HardenG
Curtis JonesG
Sam MerrillG
Tyrese ProctorG

76ers

Caleb LoveG
Anfernee SimonsG
Tyrese MaxeyG
Rayan RupertG
Jaylen BrownG

Frequently Asked Questions

76ers has a 50% win probability, while Cavaliers has a 50% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Xfinity Mobile Arena in Philadelphia, PA.

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