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Philadelphia 76ers at New York Knicks

NBAregular • 2026-27 Season
completed
Knicks logo
Knicks
New York
100
vs
76ers logo
76ers
Philadelphia
106
NYK 42%58% PHI
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

Philadelphia 76ers 58% to win. The top 2 signals favoring 76ers:

  • Offensive Efficiency. 76ers offense (113.5 PPG) outpaces Knicks (106.0 PPG)
  • Defensive Efficiency. 76ers defense (120.0 Opp PPG) better than Knicks (124.2 Opp PPG)

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VenueMadison Square Garden
New York, NY

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

76ers (away)
Knicks (home)
58%
Win probability
42%
2
High-impact factors
1
4
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The 76ers defeated the Knicks 106-100.

Our model predicted the 76ers would win with 58% confidence -- and they delivered. Even with modest confidence, the model got this one right.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Offensive Efficiency favored the 76ers and was a major factor: 76ers offense (113.5 PPG) outpaces Knicks (106.0 PPG)
  • Injuries favored the Knicks and was a major factor: Knicks healthier: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs 76ers 3 out, 0 doubtful
  • Defensive Efficiency favored the 76ers and was a major factor: 76ers defense (120.0 Opp PPG) better than Knicks (124.2 Opp PPG)
  • The 76ers are without 4 player(s) due to injury, which could tilt the matchup.

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

76ers won 100-106

76ers won by a solid margin

Prediction CorrectWe predicted 76ers at 58%

Key Factors

What's driving the win probability for this game

  • Offensive EfficiencyFavors Philadelphia 76ers
  • InjuriesFavors New York Knicks
  • Defensive EfficiencyFavors Philadelphia 76ers
  • Home Field AdvantageFavors New York Knicks
  • ELO RatingFavors New York Knicks
  • Head to HeadNeutral
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What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

PHI
NYK
Offensive Efficiency
Injuries
Defensive Efficiency
Home Field Advantage
ELO Rating
Favours PHI|Favours NYK

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Model vs. Market

Comparing our model against market-implied probabilities

Knicks

Our Model42%

76ers

Our Model58%

Understanding the win probability calculation

Offensive Efficiency

76ers offense (113.5 PPG) outpaces Knicks (106.0 PPG)

76ers

Defensive Efficiency

76ers defense (120.0 Opp PPG) better than Knicks (124.2 Opp PPG)

76ers

Turnover Differential

Knicks turnover differential (+0) vs 76ers (+0)

Neutral

Injuries

Knicks healthier: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs 76ers 3 out, 0 doubtful

Knicks

1 factor not shown (insufficient data)

Model version: 1.1.0 • Calculated: 10/20/2026, 10:45:04 PM

Knicks

No injuries reported

76ers

Tacko FallC(Hip)
OUT
Ariel HukportiC(Achilles)
OUT
Dean WadeF(Ankle)
OUT
Dominick BarlowF(Back)
OUT

Key Players

76ers

Jaylen BrownG
Caleb LoveG
Anfernee SimonsG
Tyrese MaxeyG
Rayan RupertG

Knicks

Bruce BrownG
Josh HartG
Jose AlvaradoG
Kevin McCullar Jr.G
Landry ShametG

Frequently Asked Questions

Knicks has a 42% win probability, while 76ers has a 58% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Madison Square Garden in New York, NY.

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