NBA2026-27 season
Oklahoma City Thunder vs San Antonio Spurs
Head-to-head win probability for NBA. Next meeting when one is scheduled, otherwise the most recent game. This season's results use the last pre-kickoff number.
Most recent meeting
Tue, Oct 20, 2026
This season
2026-27 meetings. Pre-kickoff win probability and the result.
Model record on this matchup
Graded on the last pre-kickoff win probability, the same rule as the accuracy page. Preseason excluded.
Hit rate
0%
0 of 1 decided games
Meetings graded
1
2026-27
Correct calls
0
Favorite won
Factor comparison
Each team's top factors from this page's featured meeting.
Oklahoma City Thunder
- Defensive Efficiency — Thunder defense (94.0 Opp PPG) better than Wizards (114.0 Opp PPG)
- ELO Rating — Thunder ELO 1642 vs Wizards ELO 1382 (diff: +260)
- Home Field Advantage — Thunder are 2-2 at home this season; Wizards are 1-1 on the road
San Antonio Spurs
- ELO Rating — Trail Blazers ELO 1557 vs Spurs ELO 1593 (diff: -35)
Get the weekly model report card
Every Monday: last week's hit rate, Brier score, and the model's biggest misses. One email a week.