NBA2026-27 season
Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder
Head-to-head win probability for NBA. Next meeting when one is scheduled, otherwise the most recent game. This season's results use the last pre-kickoff number.
Most recent meeting
Thu, Oct 22, 2026
This season
2026-27 meetings. Pre-kickoff win probability and the result.
Model record on this matchup
Graded on the last pre-kickoff win probability, the same rule as the accuracy page. Preseason excluded.
Hit rate
0%
0 of 1 decided games
Meetings graded
1
2026-27
Correct calls
0
Favorite won
Factor comparison
Each team's top factors from this page's featured meeting.
Denver Nuggets
- Defensive Efficiency — Nuggets defense (96.0 Opp PPG) better than Pacers (120.5 Opp PPG)
- ELO Rating — Pacers ELO 1426 vs Nuggets ELO 1544 (diff: -118)
- Injuries — Nuggets less affected by injuries: 3 out, 0 doubtful vs Pacers 3 out, 0 doubtful, but the missing Pacers players matter more
Oklahoma City Thunder
- Defensive Efficiency — Thunder defense (94.0 Opp PPG) better than Wizards (114.0 Opp PPG)
- ELO Rating — Thunder ELO 1642 vs Wizards ELO 1382 (diff: +260)
- Home Field Advantage — Thunder are 2-2 at home this season; Wizards are 1-1 on the road
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