Chicago Bulls at Minnesota Timberwolves
Chicago Bulls vs Minnesota Timberwolves head-to-head
Minnesota Timberwolves 87% to win. The top 3 signals favoring Timberwolves:
- Offensive Efficiency. Timberwolves offense (123.0 PPG) outpaces Bulls (114.7 PPG)
- Defensive Efficiency. Timberwolves defense (99.5 Opp PPG) better than Bulls (128.0 Opp PPG)
- ELO Rating. Timberwolves ELO 1566 vs Bulls ELO 1453 (diff: +114)
What would change the call
Win probability if a leading factor were even
- If the offensive efficiency edge were neutral: MIN 74% (−13)
- If the defensive efficiency edge were neutral: MIN 74% (−13)
- If the rating edge were neutral: MIN 85% (−2)
- If the home-field edge were neutral: MIN 86% (−1)
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Game Preview
Bulls at Timberwolves
The Bulls visit the Timberwolves at Target Center in Minneapolis, MN in 2026-27 NBA regular season play.
Our model gives the Timberwolves a 87% chance of winning, signaling a strong lean in this matchup. For the Bulls to win, several key factors would need to swing their way.
Key factors driving this prediction:
- Offensive Efficiency favors the Timberwolves (high): Timberwolves offense (123.0 PPG) outpaces Bulls (114.7 PPG)
- Defensive Efficiency favors the Timberwolves (high): Timberwolves defense (99.5 Opp PPG) better than Bulls (128.0 Opp PPG)
- ELO Rating favors the Timberwolves (low): Timberwolves ELO 1566 vs Bulls ELO 1453 (diff: +114)
is strongly favored to win
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Offensive EfficiencyFavors Minnesota Timberwolves
- Defensive EfficiencyFavors Minnesota Timberwolves
- ELO RatingFavors Minnesota Timberwolves
- Home Field AdvantageNeutral
- InjuriesNeutral
- Rest DaysNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
Offensive Efficiency
Timberwolves offense (123.0 PPG) outpaces Bulls (114.7 PPG)
Defensive Efficiency
Timberwolves defense (99.5 Opp PPG) better than Bulls (128.0 Opp PPG)
Turnover Differential
Timberwolves turnover differential (+0) vs Bulls (+0)
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
2 factors not shown (insufficient data)
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Key Players
Bulls
Timberwolves
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
More games
Next and previous games for each team, plus others from this date. Win probabilities use the same display assessment as the game page.
Minnesota Timberwolves
- Previous game87%MIN win probability
- Next game51%POR win probability
Chicago Bulls
- Previous game67%WSH win probability
- Next game77%CLE win probability
Other games on Nov 14, 2026
- 51%NOP win probability
- 71%CLE win probability
- 85%MEM win probability
- 84%DET win probability
Frequently Asked Questions
Timberwolves has a 87% win probability, while Bulls has a 13% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Target Center in Minneapolis, MN.