NBA2026-27 season
Detroit Pistons vs Miami Heat
Head-to-head win probability for NBA. Next meeting when one is scheduled, otherwise the most recent game. This season's results use the last pre-kickoff number.
Most recent meeting
Fri, Oct 23, 2026
This season
2026-27 meetings. Pre-kickoff win probability and the result.
Model record on this matchup
Graded on the last pre-kickoff win probability, the same rule as the accuracy page. Preseason excluded.
Hit rate
100%
1 of 1 decided games
Meetings graded
1
2026-27
Correct calls
1
Favorite won
Factor comparison
Each team's top factors from this page's featured meeting.
Detroit Pistons
- Offensive Efficiency — Pistons offense (124.5 PPG) outpaces 76ers (110.0 PPG)
- Injuries — Pistons healthier: 1 out, 0 doubtful vs 76ers 4 out, 0 doubtful
- Home Field Advantage — Pistons are 3-0 at home this season; 76ers are 1-2 on the road
Miami Heat
- Injuries — Heat healthier: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs Warriors 6 out, 0 doubtful
- Offensive Efficiency — Heat offense (108.5 PPG) outpaces Warriors (106.5 PPG)
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