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NBA2026-27 season

Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans

Head-to-head win probability for NBA. Next meeting when one is scheduled, otherwise the most recent game. This season's results use the last pre-kickoff number.

Next meeting

Wed, Oct 28, 2026

Pelicans logo
NOP
New Orleans Pelicans
Upcoming
Nuggets logo
DEN
Denver Nuggets
NOP 66%34% DEN
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This season

2026-27 meetings. Pre-kickoff win probability and the result.

Model record on this matchup

Graded on the last pre-kickoff win probability, the same rule as the accuracy page. Preseason excluded.

Hit rate
—
No decided games this season
Meetings graded
0
2026-27
Correct calls
0
Favorite won

Factor comparison

Each team's top factors from this page's featured meeting.

Denver Nuggets
  • Defensive Efficiency — Nuggets defense (96.0 Opp PPG) better than Pacers (120.5 Opp PPG)
  • ELO Rating — Pacers ELO 1426 vs Nuggets ELO 1544 (diff: -118)
  • Injuries — Nuggets less affected by injuries: 3 out, 0 doubtful vs Pacers 3 out, 0 doubtful, but the missing Pacers players matter more
New Orleans Pelicans
  • Home Field Advantage — Pelicans are 1-1 at home this season; Timberwolves are 5-2 on the road
  • Injuries — Pelicans less affected by injuries: 1 out, 0 doubtful vs Timberwolves 1 out, 0 doubtful, but the missing Timberwolves players matter more

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Every Monday: last week's hit rate, Brier score, and the model's biggest misses. One email a week.