MLB weekly recap: week of 2026-06-08 (2026)
Hit rate this week: 54% across 90 games; season-to-date: 54%. Graded on the last pre-kickoff win probability, the same rule as model accuracy.
Biggest upset
The model's favorite lost at 65% — final WSH 2–SEA 10
- Rest Days (favors WSH)
- Home Field Advantage (favors WSH)
| Game | Pre-game | Final | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Giants at Cubs Mon, Jun 8 | CHC 54% • SF 46% | CHC 1–SF 2 | Miss |
| Mariners at Orioles Mon, Jun 8 | BAL 55% • SEA 45% | BAL 3–SEA 6 | Miss |
| Red Sox at Rays Mon, Jun 8 | TB 56% • BOS 44% | TB 3–BOS 1 | Hit |
| Yankees at Guardians Mon, Jun 8 | CLE 55% • NYY 45% | CLE 5–NYY 7 | Miss |
| Phillies at Blue Jays Mon, Jun 8 | TOR 57% • PHI 43% | TOR 2–PHI 5 | Miss |
| Astros at Angels Tue, Jun 9 | LAA 54% • HOU 46% | LAA 4–HOU 5 | Miss |
| Reds at Padres Tue, Jun 9 | SD 57% • CIN 43% | SD 6–CIN 2 | Hit |
| Nationals at Giants Tue, Jun 9 | SF 53% • WSH 47% | SF 3–WSH 4 | Miss |
| Brewers at Athletics Tue, Jun 9 | OAK 53% • MIL 47% | OAK 14–MIL 15 | Miss |
| Mariners at Orioles Tue, Jun 9 | BAL 55% • SEA 45% | BAL 5–SEA 6 | Miss |
| Dodgers at Pirates Tue, Jun 9 | PIT 55% • LAD 45% | PIT 3–LAD 12 | Miss |
| Twins at Tigers Tue, Jun 9 | DET 54% • MIN 46% | DET 10–MIN 4 | Hit |
| Red Sox at Rays Tue, Jun 9 | TB 56% • BOS 44% | TB 4–BOS 3 | Hit |
| Diamondbacks at Marlins Tue, Jun 9 | MIA 56% • ARI 44% | MIA 10–ARI 6 | Hit |
| Yankees at Guardians Tue, Jun 9 | CLE 55% • NYY 45% | CLE 2–NYY 3 | Miss |
| Phillies at Blue Jays Tue, Jun 9 | TOR 57% • PHI 43% | TOR 3–PHI 2 | Hit |
| Cardinals at Mets Tue, Jun 9 | NYM 55% • STL 45% | NYM 0–STL 7 | Miss |
| Braves at Chicago White Sox Tue, Jun 9 | CWS 55% • ATL 45% | CWS 6–ATL 5 | Hit |
| Rangers at Royals Tue, Jun 9 | KC 54% • TEX 46% | KC 5–TEX 3 | Hit |
| Cubs at Rockies Wed, Jun 10 | COL 55% • CHC 45% | COL 7–CHC 3 | Hit |
| Astros at Angels Wed, Jun 10 | LAA 54% • HOU 46% | LAA 10–HOU 1 | Hit |
| Reds at Padres Wed, Jun 10 | SD 57% • CIN 43% | SD 3–CIN 5 | Miss |
| Nationals at Giants Wed, Jun 10 | SF 53% • WSH 47% | SF 3–WSH 6 | Miss |
| Brewers at Athletics Wed, Jun 10 | OAK 53% • MIL 47% | OAK 7–MIL 5 | Hit |
| Yankees at Guardians Wed, Jun 10 | CLE 55% • NYY 45% | CLE 4–NYY 8 | Miss |
| Red Sox at Rays Wed, Jun 10 | TB 56% • BOS 44% | TB 7–BOS 5 | Hit |
| Nationals at Giants Wed, Jun 10 | SF 53% • WSH 47% | SF 11–WSH 10 | Hit |
| Reds at Padres Wed, Jun 10 | SD 57% • CIN 43% | SD 5–CIN 4 | Hit |
| Mariners at Orioles Wed, Jun 10 | BAL 55% • SEA 45% | BAL 7–SEA 2 | Hit |
| Twins at Tigers Wed, Jun 10 | DET 54% • MIN 46% | DET 4–MIN 6 | Miss |
| Diamondbacks at Marlins Wed, Jun 10 | MIA 56% • ARI 44% | MIA 8–ARI 0 | Hit |
| Dodgers at Pirates Wed, Jun 10 | PIT 55% • LAD 45% | PIT 9–LAD 8 | Hit |
| Phillies at Blue Jays Wed, Jun 10 | TOR 57% • PHI 43% | TOR 4–PHI 7 | Miss |
| Cardinals at Mets Wed, Jun 10 | NYM 55% • STL 45% | NYM 2–STL 9 | Miss |
| Braves at Chicago White Sox Wed, Jun 10 | CWS 55% • ATL 45% | CWS 2–ATL 1 | Hit |
| Rangers at Royals Wed, Jun 10 | KC 54% • TEX 46% | KC 4–TEX 6 | Miss |
| Cubs at Rockies Thu, Jun 11 | COL 55% • CHC 45% | COL 3–CHC 2 | Hit |
| Brewers at Athletics Thu, Jun 11 | OAK 53% • MIL 47% | OAK 4–MIL 3 | Hit |
| Astros at Angels Thu, Jun 11 | LAA 54% • HOU 46% | LAA 3–HOU 2 | Hit |
| Diamondbacks at Marlins Thu, Jun 11 | MIA 56% • ARI 44% | MIA 2–ARI 0 | Hit |
| Twins at Tigers Thu, Jun 11 | DET 54% • MIN 46% | DET 11–MIN 0 | Hit |
| Cardinals at Mets Thu, Jun 11 | NYM 55% • STL 45% | NYM 5–STL 4 | Hit |
| Rangers at Royals Thu, Jun 11 | KC 54% • TEX 46% | KC 2–TEX 4 | Miss |
| Cubs at Rockies Thu, Jun 11 | COL 55% • CHC 45% | COL 3–CHC 9 | Miss |
| Dodgers at Pirates Thu, Jun 11 | PIT 55% • LAD 45% | PIT 6–LAD 8 | Miss |
| Mariners at Orioles Thu, Jun 11 | BAL 55% • SEA 45% | BAL 7–SEA 5 | Hit |
| Marlins at Pirates Fri, Jun 12 | PIT 55% • MIA 45% | PIT 3–MIA 8 | Miss |
| Mariners at Nationals Fri, Jun 12 | WSH 65% • SEA 35% | WSH 2–SEA 10 | Miss |
| Padres at Orioles Fri, Jun 12 | BAL 51% • SD 49% | BAL 7–SD 3 | Hit |
| Tigers at Guardians Fri, Jun 12 | CLE 58% • DET 42% | CLE 3–DET 2 | Hit |
| Rangers at Red Sox Fri, Jun 12 | BOS 55% • TEX 45% | BOS 10–TEX 1 | Hit |
| Diamondbacks at Reds Fri, Jun 12 | CIN 57% • ARI 43% | CIN 2–ARI 5 | Miss |
| Braves at Mets Fri, Jun 12 | NYM 55% • ATL 45% | NYM 7–ATL 5 | Hit |
| Yankees at Blue Jays Fri, Jun 12 | TOR 55% • NYY 45% | TOR 8–NYY 5 | Hit |
| Phillies at Brewers Fri, Jun 12 | MIL 55% • PHI 45% | MIL 6–PHI 0 | Hit |
| Dodgers at Chicago White Sox Fri, Jun 12 | CWS 57% • LAD 43% | CWS 8–LAD 2 | Hit |
| Cardinals at Twins Sat, Jun 13 | MIN 56% • STL 44% | MIN 9–STL 8 | Hit |
| Astros at Royals Sat, Jun 13 | KC 55% • HOU 45% | KC 8–HOU 10 | Miss |
| Rays at Angels Sat, Jun 13 | LAA 54% • TB 46% | LAA 4–TB 3 | Hit |
| Rockies at Athletics Sat, Jun 13 | OAK 56% • COL 44% | OAK 6–COL 4 | Hit |
| Cubs at Giants Sat, Jun 13 | SF 57% • CHC 43% | SF 1–CHC 5 | Miss |
| Cardinals at Twins Sat, Jun 13 | MIN 56% • STL 44% | MIN 6–STL 9 | Miss |
| Yankees at Blue Jays Sat, Jun 13 | TOR 55% • NYY 45% | TOR 1–NYY 3 | Miss |
| Padres at Orioles Sat, Jun 13 | BAL 52% • SD 48% | BAL 3–SD 9 | Miss |
| Marlins at Pirates Sat, Jun 13 | PIT 55% • MIA 45% | PIT 3–MIA 2 | Hit |
| Mariners at Nationals Sat, Jun 13 | WSH 58% • SEA 42% | WSH 8–SEA 3 | Hit |
| Diamondbacks at Reds Sat, Jun 13 | CIN 55% • ARI 45% | CIN 2–ARI 1 | Hit |
| Rangers at Red Sox Sat, Jun 13 | BOS 54% • TEX 46% | BOS 6–TEX 3 | Hit |
| Tigers at Guardians Sat, Jun 13 | CLE 56% • DET 44% | CLE 3–DET 1 | Hit |
| Braves at Mets Sat, Jun 13 | NYM 55% • ATL 45% | NYM 1–ATL 3 | Miss |
| Dodgers at Chicago White Sox Sat, Jun 13 | CWS 55% • LAD 45% | CWS 1–LAD 7 | Miss |
| Astros at Royals Sat, Jun 13 | KC 55% • HOU 45% | KC 7–HOU 8 | Miss |
| Phillies at Brewers Sat, Jun 13 | MIL 57% • PHI 43% | MIL 8–PHI 9 | Miss |
| Cubs at Giants Sun, Jun 14 | SF 56% • CHC 44% | SF 1–CHC 6 | Miss |
| Rockies at Athletics Sun, Jun 14 | OAK 54% • COL 46% | OAK 7–COL 5 | Hit |
| Rays at Angels Sun, Jun 14 | LAA 54% • TB 46% | LAA 8–TB 0 | Hit |
| Marlins at Pirates Sun, Jun 14 | PIT 55% • MIA 45% | PIT 2–MIA 4 | Miss |
| Padres at Orioles Sun, Jun 14 | BAL 52% • SD 48% | BAL 2–SD 5 | Miss |
| Mariners at Nationals Sun, Jun 14 | WSH 58% • SEA 42% | WSH 10–SEA 1 | Hit |
| Yankees at Blue Jays Sun, Jun 14 | TOR 55% • NYY 45% | TOR 3–NYY 8 | Miss |
| Braves at Mets Sun, Jun 14 | NYM 55% • ATL 45% | NYM 8–ATL 1 | Hit |
| Diamondbacks at Reds Sun, Jun 14 | CIN 55% • ARI 45% | CIN 3–ARI 5 | Miss |
| Phillies at Brewers Sun, Jun 14 | MIL 57% • PHI 43% | MIL 4–PHI 0 | Hit |
| Dodgers at Chicago White Sox Sun, Jun 14 | CWS 55% • LAD 45% | CWS 6–LAD 4 | Hit |
| Astros at Royals Sun, Jun 14 | KC 55% • HOU 45% | KC 4–HOU 0 | Hit |
| Cardinals at Twins Sun, Jun 14 | MIN 56% • STL 44% | MIN 5–STL 4 | Hit |
| Rockies at Athletics Sun, Jun 14 | OAK 54% • COL 46% | OAK 9–COL 23 | Miss |
| Cubs at Giants Sun, Jun 14 | SF 56% • CHC 44% | SF 5–CHC 1 | Hit |
| Rays at Angels Sun, Jun 14 | LAA 54% • TB 46% | LAA 3–TB 8 | Miss |
| Rangers at Red Sox Sun, Jun 14 | BOS 54% • TEX 46% | BOS 4–TEX 6 | Miss |