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Seattle Mariners at Baltimore Orioles

MLBregular • 2026-2027 Season
Scheduled
Orioles logo
Orioles
Baltimore
0
vs
Mariners logo
Mariners
Seattle
0
BAL 55%45% SEA
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

Baltimore Orioles 55% to win. The biggest signal favoring Orioles:

  • Home Field Advantage. Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)

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VenueOriole Park at Camden Yards
Baltimore, Maryland

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Mariners (away)
Orioles (home)
45%
Win probability
55%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0
Orioles55%

has a slight edge to win

Key Factor
Home Field Advantage
Favors BAL

Key Factors

What's driving the win probability for this game

  • Home Field AdvantageFavors Baltimore Orioles
  • Recent FormNeutral
  • Weather ImpactNeutral
  • ELO RatingNeutral
  • Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
  • Head to HeadNeutral
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What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

SEA
BAL
Home Field Advantage
Favours SEA|Favours BAL

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

1 factor not shown (insufficient data)

Model version: 1.1.0 • Calculated: 6/5/2026, 8:45:01 AM

Key Players

Mariners

Logan GilbertSP
Luis CastilloSP
George KirbySP
Bryce MillerSP
Bryan WooSP

Orioles

Shane BazSP
Trevor RogersSP
Chris BassittSP
Brandon YoungSP
Kyle BradishSP

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Orioles has a 55% win probability, while Mariners has a 45% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland.

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