St. Louis Cardinals at New York Mets
MLBregular • 2026-2027 Season
Scheduled
NYM 56%44% STL
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate
New York Mets 56% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Mets:
- Home Field Advantage. Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
- Rest Days. Mets rest advantage (3 days rest) over Cardinals (4 days rest)
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Cardinals (away)
Mets (home)
44%
Win probability
56%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0
Mets56%
is favored to win
Key Factor
Home Field Advantage
Favors NYM
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Home Field AdvantageFavors New York Mets
- Rest DaysFavors New York Mets
- InjuriesNeutral
- ELO RatingNeutral
- Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Head to HeadNeutral
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What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
STL
NYM
Home Field Advantage
Rest Days
Favours STL|Favours NYM
Premium feature: factor breakdown
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3 factors
Injuries & Personnel
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
Historical
Low impact1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
Model version: 1.1.0 • Calculated: 6/7/2026, 8:45:02 AM
Key Players
Cardinals
Hunter DobbinsSP
Matthew LiberatoreSP
Dustin MaySP
Michael McGreevySP
Kyle LeahySP
Mets
Christian ScottSP
Nolan McLeanSP
Freddy PeraltaSP
David PetersonSP
Zach ThorntonSP
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Mets has a 56% win probability, while Cardinals has a 44% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Citi Field in Queens, New York.