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Milwaukee Brewers at Arizona Diamondbacks

MLBregular โ€ข 2026-2027 Season
completed
Diamondbacks logo
Diamondbacks
Arizona
2
vs
Brewers logo
Brewers
Milwaukee
3
ARI 53%47% MIL
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

Arizona Diamondbacks 53% to win. The biggest signal favoring Diamondbacks:

  • Home Field Advantage. Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)

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VenueChase Field (NH)
Hanover, New Hampshire

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Brewers (away)
Diamondbacks (home)
47%
Win probability
53%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Brewers defeated the Diamondbacks 3-2.

Our model predicted the Diamondbacks would win with 53% confidence, but the Brewers pulled off the upset. These outcomes are what keep sports compelling -- and help our model learn.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Home Field Advantage favored the Diamondbacks and was a notable factor: Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
  • Head to Head was neutral and a contributing factor: No recent head-to-head history available
  • Recent Form was neutral and a contributing factor: No recent form data available

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Brewers won 2-3

Brewers won in a close game

Prediction IncorrectWe predicted Diamondbacks at 53%

Key Factors

What's driving the win probability for this game

  • Home Field AdvantageFavors Arizona Diamondbacks
  • Head to HeadNeutral
  • Recent FormNeutral
  • InjuriesNeutral
  • Rest DaysNeutral
  • Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
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What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

MIL
ARI
Home Field Advantage
Favours MIL|Favours ARI

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

1 factor not shown (insufficient data)

Model version: 1.1.0 โ€ข Calculated: 7/5/2026, 7:45:01 PM

Key Players

Brewers

Brandon SproatSP
Shane DrohanSP
Robert GasserSP
Kyle HarrisonSP
Jacob MisiorowskiSP

Diamondbacks

Zac GallenSP
Ryne NelsonSP
Jose CabreraSP
Kohl DrakeSP
Merrill KellySP

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Diamondbacks has a 53% win probability, while Brewers has a 47% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Chase Field (NH) in Hanover, New Hampshire.

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