MLB2026 season
Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets
Head-to-head win probability for MLB. Next meeting when one is scheduled, otherwise the most recent game. This season's results use the last pre-kickoff number.
Most recent meeting
Wed, Jul 29, 2026
This season
2026 meetings. Pre-kickoff win probability and the result.
- ATL at NYMWed, Jul 29, 2026NYM 55%ATL 1–0
- ATL at NYMWed, Jul 29, 2026NYM 55%NYM 2–3
- ATL at NYMMon, Jul 27, 2026NYM 55%NYM 3–14
- NYM at ATLMon, Jul 6, 2026ATL 55%NYM 7–6
- NYM at ATLSun, Jul 5, 2026ATL 55%NYM 10–9
- NYM at ATLSat, Jul 4, 2026ATL 55%ATL 3–14
- NYM at ATLFri, Jul 3, 2026ATL 53%ATL 3–5
- ATL at NYMSun, Jun 14, 2026NYM 55%NYM 1–8
- ATL at NYMSat, Jun 13, 2026NYM 55%ATL 3–1
- ATL at NYMFri, Jun 12, 2026NYM 55%NYM 5–7
Model record on this matchup
Graded on the last pre-kickoff win probability, the same rule as the accuracy page. Preseason excluded.
Hit rate
60%
6 of 10 decided games
Meetings graded
10
2026
Correct calls
6
Favorite won
Factor comparison
Each team's top factors from this page's featured meeting.
Atlanta Braves
- Home Field Advantage — Braves are 50-24 at home this season; Dodgers are 45-26 on the road
New York Mets
- Defensive Efficiency — Mets pitching/defense (4.5 RA/G) better than Nationals (5.0 RA/G)
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