New York Mets at Atlanta Braves
MLBregular • 2026-2027 Season
Scheduled
ATL 55%45% NYM
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate
Atlanta Braves 55% to win. The biggest signal favoring Braves:
- Home Field Advantage. Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Mets (away)
Braves (home)
45%
Win probability
55%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0
Braves55%
has a slight edge to win
Key Factor
Home Field Advantage
Favors ATL
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Atlanta Braves
- Rest DaysNeutral
- Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Weather ImpactNeutral
- ELO RatingNeutral
- Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
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What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
NYM
ATL
Home Field Advantage
Favours NYM|Favours ATL
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
Injuries & Personnel
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
Historical
Low impact1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
Model version: 1.1.0 • Calculated: 6/30/2026, 8:45:02 AM
Key Players
Mets
Kodai SengaSP
Zach ThorntonSP
Jonah TongSP
Nolan McLeanSP
Freddy PeraltaSP
Braves
Martin PerezSP
Chris SaleSP
Spencer StriderSP
Hurston WaldrepSP
Bryce ElderSP
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Braves has a 55% win probability, while Mets has a 45% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia.