Minnesota Twins at New York Yankees
MLBregular • 2026-2027 Season
Scheduled
NYY 54%46% MIN
New York Yankees 54% to win. The biggest signal favoring Yankees:
- Home Field Advantage. Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Twins (away)
Yankees (home)
46%
Win probability
54%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0
Yankees54%
has a slight edge to win
Key Factor
Home Field Advantage
Favors NYY
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Home Field AdvantageFavors New York Yankees
- Rest DaysFavors Minnesota Twins
- ELO RatingNeutral
- Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Recent FormNeutral
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What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
MIN
NYY
Home Field Advantage
Rest Days
Favours MIN|Favours NYY
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
Injuries & Personnel
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
Historical
Low impact1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
Model version: 1.1.0 • Calculated: 7/2/2026, 8:45:01 AM
Key Players
Twins
Marco RayaSP
Connor PrielippSP
Joe RyanSP
Zebby MatthewsSP
Taj BradleySP
Yankees
Carlos RodonSP
Cam SchlittlerSP
Will WarrenSP
Ryan WeathersSP
Gerrit ColeSP
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Yankees has a 54% win probability, while Twins has a 46% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Yankee Stadium in Bronx, New York.