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Minnesota Twins at New York Yankees

MLBregular โ€ข 2026-2027 Season
completed
Yankees logo
Yankees
New York
1
vs
Twins logo
Twins
Minnesota
6
NYY 55%45% MIN
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

New York Yankees 55% to win. The biggest signal favoring Yankees:

  • Home Field Advantage. Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)

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VenueYankee Stadium
Bronx, New York

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Twins (away)
Yankees (home)
45%
Win probability
55%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Twins defeated the Yankees 6-1.

Our model predicted the Yankees would win with 55% confidence, but the Twins pulled off the upset. These outcomes are what keep sports compelling -- and help our model learn.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Home Field Advantage favored the Yankees and was a notable factor: Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
  • Injuries was neutral and a contributing factor: Similar injury situations: Yankees (0 out) vs Twins (0 out)
  • Rest Days was neutral and a contributing factor: Similar rest: Yankees (1 day rest) vs Twins (1 day rest)

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Twins won 1-6

Twins won by a solid margin

Prediction IncorrectWe predicted Yankees at 55%

Key Factors

What's driving the win probability for this game

  • Home Field AdvantageFavors New York Yankees
  • InjuriesNeutral
  • Rest DaysNeutral
  • Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
  • Weather ImpactNeutral
  • ELO RatingNeutral
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What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

MIN
NYY
Home Field Advantage
Favours MIN|Favours NYY

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

1 factor not shown (insufficient data)

Model version: 1.1.0 โ€ข Calculated: 7/5/2026, 5:30:03 PM

Key Players

Twins

Joe RyanSP
Connor PrielippSP
Dean KremerSP
Marco RayaSP
Taj BradleySP

Yankees

Will WarrenSP
Carlos RodonSP
Max FriedSP
Ryan WeathersSP
Cam SchlittlerSP

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Yankees has a 55% win probability, while Twins has a 45% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Yankee Stadium in Bronx, New York.

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