PlayDecoded
Menu
NHLEastern • Atlantic
Maple Leafs logo

Toronto Maple Leafs

Eastern Conference • Atlantic Division

Record
2-2
Division
Atlantic
Conference
Eastern
Upcoming
4 games

Next Game Prediction

at Vegas Golden Knights • Fri, Oct 9 2:00 AM
26%
win probability
Full analysis →
Model accuracy on Toronto Maple Leafs: 50% (6 games)

Team Analytics

Elo Rating History

Toronto Maple Leafs - 2027 Season

151514651415
Current Elo
1465
Season Change
+0
Season High
1465
Season Low
1465
Avg Change
+3.9
Games
1

Model vs. Market History

Toronto Maple Leafs - 2027 Season

Avg Edge
0%
Model Edge Record
0-0
Model Edge Win %
-
DateOpponentH/AModelMarketEdgeResult
Oct 10AvalancheA33%--Scheduled
Oct 9Golden KnightsA26%--Scheduled
Oct 6PredatorsH43%--WIN✗
Oct 3SenatorsH47%--LOSS✓
Sep 30IslandersH40%--WIN✗
Sep 29CanadiensH41%--LOSS✓
Sep 23SenatorsH52%--WIN✓
Sep 23SenatorsA41%--WIN✗
Model divergence: our model gives this team >5% more probability than the market implies

Frequently Asked Questions

The Toronto Maple Leafs play in the Eastern conference, Atlantic division.

The Maple Leafs play their home games in Toronto.

We analyze Maple Leafs games using multiple factors including offensive and defensive efficiency, injury reports, and historical performance to calculate win probabilities.

How We Analyze NHL Games

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

View all NHL teams