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Toronto Maple Leafs at Seattle Kraken

NHLregular • 2026-27 Season
Scheduled
Kraken logo
Kraken
Seattle
0
vs
Maple Leafs logo
Maple Leafs
Toronto
0
SEA 60%40% TOR
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

Seattle Kraken 60% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Kraken:

  • Home Field Advantage. Kraken are 5-1 at home this season; Maple Leafs are 3-3 on the road
  • Recent Form. Kraken (7-3) in better form than Maple Leafs (6-4)

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VenueClimate Pledge Arena
Seattle, WA

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Maple Leafs (away)
Kraken (home)
40%
Win probability
60%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Game Preview

Maple Leafs at Kraken

The Maple Leafs visit the Kraken at Climate Pledge Arena in Seattle, WA in 2027-2028 NHL regular play.

Our model gives the Kraken a 60% chance of winning, making this a competitive contest. The Maple Leafs will need to find an edge to pull off the upset.

Key factors driving this prediction:

  • Home Field Advantage favors the Kraken (medium): Kraken are 5-1 at home this season; Maple Leafs are 3-3 on the road
  • Recent Form favors the Kraken (low): Kraken (7-3) in better form than Maple Leafs (6-4)
  • ELO Rating is neutral: Kraken ELO 1494 vs Maple Leafs ELO 1477 (diff: +17)
Kraken60%

is favored to win

Key Factor
Home Field Advantage
Favors SEA

Key Factors

What's driving the win probability for this game

  • Home Field AdvantageFavors Seattle Kraken
  • Recent FormFavors Seattle Kraken
  • ELO RatingNeutral
  • InjuriesNeutral
  • Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
  • Head to HeadNeutral
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What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

TOR
SEA
Home Field Advantage
Recent Form
ELO Rating
Favours TOR|Favours SEA

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

Model version: 1.1.0 • Calculated: 10/23/2026, 8:50:02 AM

Key Players

Maple Leafs

Artur AkhtyamovG
Anthony StolarzG
Sergei BobrovskyG
Teddy BluegerC
Bo GroulxC

Kraken

Joey DaccordG
Philipp GrubauerG
Curtis DouglasC
Ryan WintertonC
Matty BeniersC

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Kraken has a 60% win probability, while Maple Leafs has a 40% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Climate Pledge Arena in Seattle, WA.

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