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NHL2026-27 season

Philadelphia Flyers vs Washington Capitals

Head-to-head win probability for NHL. Next meeting when one is scheduled, otherwise the most recent game. This season's results use the last pre-kickoff number.

Next meeting

Wed, Oct 28, 2026

Capitals logo
WSH
Washington Capitals
Upcoming
Flyers logo
PHI
Philadelphia Flyers
WSH 59%41% PHI
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This season

2026-27 meetings. Pre-kickoff win probability and the result.

Model record on this matchup

Graded on the last pre-kickoff win probability, the same rule as the accuracy page. Preseason excluded.

Hit rate
—
No decided games this season
Meetings graded
0
2026-27
Correct calls
0
Favorite won

Factor comparison

Each team's top factors from this page's featured meeting.

Philadelphia Flyers
  • Injuries — Flyers healthier: 4 out, 0 doubtful vs Rangers 5 out, 0 doubtful
Washington Capitals
  • Home Field Advantage — Capitals are 6-2 at home this season; Panthers are 4-6 on the road
  • Injuries — Capitals less affected by injuries: 4 out, 0 doubtful vs Panthers 4 out, 0 doubtful, but the missing Panthers players matter more
  • ELO Rating — Capitals ELO 1555 vs Panthers ELO 1505 (diff: +50)

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