New Jersey Devils at Washington Capitals
New Jersey Devils vs Washington Capitals head-to-head
Washington Capitals 57% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Capitals:
- Home Field Advantage. Capitals are 7-2 at home this season; Devils are 2-3 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)
- ELO Rating. Capitals ELO 1558 vs Devils ELO 1529 (diff: +29)
What would change the call
Win probability if a leading factor were even
- If the home-field edge were neutral: WSH 53% (−4)
- If the rating edge were neutral: WSH 56% (−1)
- If the recent-form edge were neutral: WSH 58% (+1)
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Game Preview
Devils at Capitals
The Devils visit the Capitals at Capital One Arena in Washington, DC in 2026-27 NHL regular season play.
Our model gives the Capitals a 57% chance of winning, making this a competitive contest. For the Devils to win, several key factors would need to swing their way.
Key factors driving this prediction:
- Home Field Advantage favors the Capitals (medium): Capitals are 7-2 at home this season; Devils are 2-3 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)
- ELO Rating favors the Capitals (low): Capitals ELO 1558 vs Devils ELO 1529 (diff: +29)
- Recent Form is neutral: Similar form: Capitals (6-4) vs Devils (7-4)
is favored to win
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Washington Capitals
- ELO RatingFavors Washington Capitals
- Recent FormNeutral
- InjuriesNeutral
- Rest DaysNeutral
- Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
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Key Players
Devils
Capitals
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
More games
Next and previous games for each team, plus others from this date. Win probabilities use the same display assessment as the game page.
Washington Capitals
- Previous game73%WSH win probability
- Next game58%TBL win probability
New Jersey Devils
- Previous game70%NJD win probability
- Next game59%NJD win probability
Other games on Nov 14, 2026
- 62%CAR win probability
- 53%CHI win probability
- 63%TBL win probability
- 55%PIT win probability
Frequently Asked Questions
Capitals has a 57% win probability, while Devils has a 43% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Capital One Arena in Washington, DC.