New Jersey Devils at New York Islanders
New Jersey Devils vs New York Islanders head-to-head
New Jersey Devils 54% to win. The top 3 signals favoring Devils:
- Injuries. Devils healthier: 2 out, 0 doubtful vs Islanders 4 out, 0 doubtful
- ELO Rating. Islanders ELO 1466 vs Devils ELO 1524 (diff: -58)
- Recent Form. Devils (6-4) in better form than Islanders (5-3)
What would change the call
Win probability if a leading factor were even
- If the injury edge were neutral: NJD 48% (−6)
- If the home-field edge were neutral: NJD 58% (+4)
- If the rating edge were neutral: NJD 52% (−2)
- If the recent-form edge were neutral: NJD 53% (−1)
Win probability movement
NYI home win probability as the model updated before the game
Labels mark updates of 5 points or more, named by the factor that moved most.
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Game Preview
Devils at Islanders
The Devils visit the Islanders at UBS Arena in Elmont, NY in 2026-27 NHL regular season play.
Our model gives the Devils a 54% chance of winning, making this an extremely close matchup. For the Islanders to win, several key factors would need to swing their way.
Key factors driving this prediction:
- Injuries favors the Devils (medium): Devils healthier: 2 out, 0 doubtful vs Islanders 4 out, 0 doubtful
- Home Field Advantage favors the Islanders (low): Islanders are 4-4 at home this season; Devils are 2-3 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)
- ELO Rating favors the Devils (low): Islanders ELO 1466 vs Devils ELO 1524 (diff: -58)
- Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Islanders have 4 player(s) ruled out, while the Devils have 2.
is slightly favored to win
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- InjuriesFavors New Jersey Devils
- Home Field AdvantageFavors New York Islanders
- ELO RatingFavors New Jersey Devils
- Recent FormFavors New Jersey Devils
- Turnover DifferentialNeutral
- Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
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Injury Report
Islanders
Devils
Key Players
Devils
Islanders
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
More games
Next and previous games for each team, plus others from this date. Win probabilities use the same display assessment as the game page.
New York Islanders
- Previous game53%CAR win probability
- Next game
No next game this season
New Jersey Devils
- Previous game72%NJD win probability
- Next game-No model yet
Other games on Nov 8, 2026
- 51%OTT win probability
- 60%MTL win probability
- 52%DAL win probability
- 57%CAR win probability
Frequently Asked Questions
Islanders has a 46% win probability, while Devils has a 54% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at UBS Arena in Elmont, NY.