NHL2026-27 season
New Jersey Devils vs Toronto Maple Leafs
Head-to-head win probability for NHL. Next meeting when one is scheduled, otherwise the most recent game. This season's results use the last pre-kickoff number.
Next meeting
Sun, Nov 8, 2026
TOR
Toronto Maple Leafs
Upcoming
NJD
New Jersey Devils
This season
2026-27 meetings. Pre-kickoff win probability and the result.
Model record on this matchup
Graded on the last pre-kickoff win probability, the same rule as the accuracy page. Preseason excluded.
Hit rate
—
No decided games this season
Meetings graded
0
2026-27
Correct calls
0
Favorite won
Factor comparison
Each team's top factors from this page's featured meeting.
New Jersey Devils
- Injuries — Devils healthier: 2 out, 0 doubtful vs Islanders 4 out, 0 doubtful
- ELO Rating — Islanders ELO 1466 vs Devils ELO 1524 (diff: -58)
- Recent Form — Devils (6-4) in better form than Islanders (5-3)
Toronto Maple Leafs
- Home Field Advantage — Maple Leafs are 5-5 at home this season; Canadiens are 3-3 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)
Get the weekly model report card
Every Monday: last week's hit rate, Brier score, and the model's biggest misses. One email a week.